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Sanfrecce vs Nagoya Grampus prediction — J1 League

J1 League · Japan
Sanfrecce €20.05m
Full time 3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus €13.35m
1 1.55
X 4.50
2 5.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
69%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.48 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sanfrecce 52%@1.55
Draw 26%@4.50
Nagoya Grampus 22%@5.50
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 69%@1.48
Under 2.5 31%@3.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@1.58
No 55%@2.32
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 78%@1.32
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SanfrecceModelNagoya Grampus
1.92xG1.18
47%Ball possession53%
18Shots12
9Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
9Fouls made9
SanfrecceRealNagoya Grampus
1.60xG0.30
53%Ball possession47%
16Shots3
7Shots on goal1
2Corner kicks1
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls3
11Fouls made6
SanfrecceReal · ModelNagoya Grampus
1.601.92xG0.301.18
53%47%Ball possession47%53%
1618Shots312
79Shots on goal15
26Corner kicks14
11Yellow cards21
22Offside calls32
119Fouls made69

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SanfreccePer gameNagoya Grampus
2.3Goals for / game1.3
0.8Goals against / game1.9
51%Ball possession59%
17.7Shots per game14.3
5.9Corners per game4.8
1.74Expected goals1.48

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SanfrecceRateNagoya Grampus
80%Wins20%
70%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.580%
50%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sanfrecce WWWLD
W 29 Sept Tochigi City Sanfrecce 0 2 15.00 1.14
W 19 Sept Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce 0 1 4.65 1.78
W 12 Sept Sanfrecce Cerezo Osaka 6 1 1.67 4.90
L 6 Sept Okayama Sanfrecce 3 2 3.90 1.95
D 29 Aug Gamba Osaka Sanfrecce 0 0 4.60 1.68
W 26 Aug Sanfrecce Okinawa SV 4 1 1.17 14.50
W 22 Aug Sanfrecce Kawasaki 1 0 1.53 5.80
W 15 Aug Urawa Sanfrecce 1 4 3.70 1.99
W 8 Aug Sanfrecce Chiba 3 0 1.43 7.50
W 28 Jul Sanfrecce Verspah Oita 4 0 – –
Nagoya Grampus WLLLW
W 29 Sept Kitakyushu Nagoya Grampus 1 3 11.00 1.19
L 19 Sept FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus 1 0 1.55 5.80
L 12 Sept Nagasaki Nagoya Grampus 2 0 3.60 1.95
L 6 Sept Nagoya Grampus Machida 1 3 3.20 2.27
W 29 Aug Nagoya Grampus Okayama 2 1 2.75 2.60
L 26 Aug Nagoya Grampus Gainare Tottori 1 3 1.21 12.50
W 22 Aug Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka 3 1 2.32 2.95
L 15 Aug Kashima Nagoya Grampus 2 1 1.88 4.10
L 8 Aug Nagoya Grampus Shimizu S-Pulse 0 1 2.15 3.45
L 25 Jul Consadole Nagoya Grampus 1 0 – –

Past meetings

Sanfrecce
3·0·3
Nagoya Grampus
  • May 2026 Sanfrecce 4 - 2 Nagoya Grampus
  • Mar 2026 Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Sanfrecce
  • Aug 2025 Nagoya Grampus 2 - 4 Sanfrecce
  • Jun 2025 Sanfrecce 1 - 2 Nagoya Grampus
  • Apr 2025 Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Sanfrecce
  • Aug 2024 Nagoya Grampus 1 - 2 Sanfrecce

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce 9 +15 20
2 Vissel Kobe 9 +7 20
3 Kashiwa Reysol 9 +4 19
4 Machida 9 +11 18
5 FC Tokyo 9 +6 18
6 Yokohama 9 +4 15
7 Kashima 9 +1 14
8 Okayama 9 +1 14
9 Kawasaki 9 +3 13
10 Urawa 9 -2 13
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 -1 12
12 Mito 9 0 10
13 Cerezo Osaka 9 -6 10
14 Kyoto 9 -4 9
15 Nagasaki 9 -4 9
16 Gamba Osaka 9 -6 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 9 -7 7
18 Avispa Fukuoka 9 -3 5
19 Verdy 9 -8 5
20 Chiba 9 -11 5
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day