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Sanfrecce vs Cerezo Osaka prediction — J1 League

J1 League · Japan
Sanfrecce €19.75m
Full time 6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka €15.40m
1 1.67
X 4.25
2 4.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
80%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.60 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sanfrecce 57%@1.67
Draw 23%@4.25
Cerezo Osaka 20%@4.90
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 20%@6.40
Under 3.5 80%@1.60
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.60
No 40%@2.28
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 55%@2.50
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SanfrecceModelCerezo Osaka
1.92xG0.74
49%Ball possession51%
19Shots9
9Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
8Fouls made9
SanfrecceRealCerezo Osaka
4.63xG0.42
49%Ball possession51%
20Shots10
11Shots on goal3
9Corner kicks4
0Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
8Fouls made5
SanfrecceReal · ModelCerezo Osaka
4.631.92xG0.420.74
49%49%Ball possession51%51%
2019Shots109
119Shots on goal33
95Corner kicks44
01Yellow cards11
22Offside calls11
88Fouls made59

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SanfreccePer gameCerezo Osaka
2.5Goals for / game1.2
1.0Goals against / game0.7
58%Ball possession56%
17.4Shots per game10.7
5.3Corners per game4.8
1.84Expected goals0.92

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SanfrecceRateCerezo Osaka
70%Wins60%
80%Over 1.550%
80%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sanfrecce WWLWD
W 29 Sept Tochigi City Sanfrecce 0 2 15.00 1.14
W 19 Sept Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce 0 1 4.65 1.78
L 6 Sept Okayama Sanfrecce 3 2 3.90 1.95
W 2 Sept Sanfrecce Nagoya Grampus 3 0 1.55 5.50
D 29 Aug Gamba Osaka Sanfrecce 0 0 4.60 1.68
W 26 Aug Sanfrecce Okinawa SV 4 1 1.17 14.50
W 22 Aug Sanfrecce Kawasaki 1 0 1.53 5.80
W 15 Aug Urawa Sanfrecce 1 4 3.70 1.99
W 8 Aug Sanfrecce Chiba 3 0 1.43 7.50
W 28 Jul Sanfrecce Verspah Oita 4 0 – –
Cerezo Osaka WDDWL
W 29 Sept Fujieda MYFC Cerezo Osaka 1 2 5.75 1.50
D 19 Sept Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka 1 1 3.00 2.30
D 6 Sept Cerezo Osaka Verdy 0 0 1.71 5.10
W 2 Sept Cerezo Osaka Kashiwa Reysol 2 0 3.40 2.08
L 29 Aug Vissel Kobe Cerezo Osaka 1 0 2.42 3.15
W 26 Aug Cerezo Osaka Gifu 3 1 1.32 8.60
D 22 Aug Cerezo Osaka Shimizu S-Pulse 0 0 2.42 3.05
L 15 Aug Avispa Fukuoka Cerezo Osaka 3 0 2.67 2.65
W 8 Aug Cerezo Osaka Okayama 2 1 2.12 3.60
W 29 Jul Cerezo Osaka Dortmund 1 0 4.60 1.75

Past meetings

Sanfrecce
4·2·0
Cerezo Osaka
  • Apr 2026 Sanfrecce 2 - 1 Cerezo Osaka
  • Feb 2026 Cerezo Osaka 1 - 2 Sanfrecce
  • Aug 2025 Cerezo Osaka 1 - 1 Sanfrecce
  • Apr 2025 Sanfrecce 2 - 1 Cerezo Osaka
  • Aug 2024 Sanfrecce 2 - 0 Cerezo Osaka
  • May 2024 Cerezo Osaka 1 - 1 Sanfrecce

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce 9 +15 20
2 Vissel Kobe 9 +7 20
3 Kashiwa Reysol 9 +4 19
4 Machida 9 +11 18
5 FC Tokyo 9 +6 18
6 Yokohama 9 +4 15
7 Kashima 9 +1 14
8 Okayama 9 +1 14
9 Kawasaki 9 +3 13
10 Urawa 9 -2 13
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 -1 12
12 Mito 9 0 10
13 Cerezo Osaka 9 -6 10
14 Kyoto 9 -4 9
15 Nagasaki 9 -4 9
16 Gamba Osaka 9 -6 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 9 -7 7
18 Avispa Fukuoka 9 -3 5
19 Verdy 9 -8 5
20 Chiba 9 -11 5
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