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San Lorenzo vs Nacional prediction — Division Profesional - Clausura

1 4.60
X 3.35
2 1.87

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
89%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.60 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
San Lorenzo 16%@4.60
Draw 22%@3.35
Nacional 62%@1.87
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 11%@12.95
Under 2.5 89%@1.60
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 26%@2.10
No 74%@1.70
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 86%@1.36
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

San LorenzoModelNacional
0.65xG1.16
46%Ball possession54%
7Shots12
2Shots on goal6
3Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls3
9Fouls made11
San LorenzoRealNacional
0.40xG1.34
44%Ball possession56%
10Shots12
2Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards1
3Offside calls1
14Fouls made12
San LorenzoReal · ModelNacional
0.400.65xG1.341.16
44%46%Ball possession56%54%
107Shots1212
22Shots on goal66
63Corner kicks44
12Yellow cards11
32Offside calls13
149Fouls made1211

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

San LorenzoPer gameNacional
0.4Goals for / game1.5
1.0Goals against / game0.8
40%Ball possession49%
9.0Shots per game12.1
3.2Corners per game4.3
0.89Expected goals1.21

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

San LorenzoRateNacional
20%Wins50%
40%Over 1.590%
10%Over 2.530%
20%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

San Lorenzo DDWLL
D 3 Oct Guarani San Lorenzo 1 1 1.49 6.80
D 28 Sept San Lorenzo Recoleta 0 0 3.05 2.32
W 23 Sept San Lorenzo 4 de Mayo 2 1 1.23 12.50
L 20 Sept San Lorenzo Olimpia 0 2 8.00 1.42
L 11 Sept Ameliano San Lorenzo 1 0 1.75 4.70
L 5 Sept San Lorenzo 2 de Mayo 1 2 3.70 2.12
L 1 Sept Rubio NU San Lorenzo 3 1 2.10 3.95
L 24 Aug Libertad San Lorenzo 1 0 1.37 8.00
L 16 Aug Cerro Porteno San Lorenzo 1 0 1.39 8.25
D 12 Aug 29 de Setiembre San Lorenzo 1 1 5.90 1.47
Nacional DDWDL
D 30 Sept Independi Nacional 2 2 4.60 1.75
D 25 Sept Nacional Ameliano 1 1 1.91 4.30
W 18 Sept Nacional 2 de Mayo 3 0 1.72 5.40
D 13 Sept Rubio NU Nacional 0 0 3.45 2.30
L 7 Sept Cerro Porteno Nacional 1 0 2.35 3.25
W 2 Sept Nacional Libertad 3 0 3.00 2.63
W 24 Aug Nacional Sp. Luqueno 2 0 2.20 3.90
W 18 Aug Benjamin Aceval Nacional 0 2 4.30 1.78
D 15 Aug Sportivo Nacional 1 1 2.75 2.70
D 9 Aug Nacional Guarani 0 0 2.12 3.60

Past meetings

San Lorenzo
0·1·1
Nacional
  • Mar 2026 San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Nacional
  • Jan 2026 Nacional 1 - 0 San Lorenzo

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Olimpia 14 +11 27
2 Libertad 14 +6 25
3 2 de Mayo 14 +1 24
4 Nacional 14 +11 22
5 Sportivo 14 +9 22
6 Guarani 14 +4 22
7 Ameliano 14 +1 20
8 Cerro Porteno 14 +3 19
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 -9 15
10 Rubio NU 14 -9 12
11 Recoleta 14 -11 10
12 San Lorenzo 14 -17 4