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Salzburg vs Sturm Graz prediction — Bundesliga

Bundesliga · Austria
Salzburg €100.05m
Full time 3 : 0
Sturm Graz €60.42m
1 1.56
X 4.95
2 5.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
59%Chance
Red Bull Salzburg win 1 Odds @1.56 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Salzburg 59%@1.56
Draw 21%@4.95
Sturm Graz 20%@5.40
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 70%@1.36
Under 2.5 30%@3.17
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.45
No 42%@2.55
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 79%@1.27
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

SalzburgModelSturm Graz
2.07xG1.11
57%Ball possession43%
18Shots12
6Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made12
SalzburgRealSturm Graz
1.43xG0.59
55%Ball possession45%
15Shots14
7Shots on goal2
3Corner kicks8
0Yellow cards3
2Offside calls3
11Fouls made14
SalzburgReal · ModelSturm Graz
1.432.07xG0.591.11
55%57%Ball possession45%43%
1518Shots1412
76Shots on goal24
35Corner kicks85
01Yellow cards32
21Offside calls32
1110Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

SalzburgPer gameSturm Graz
2.5Goals for / game1.2
0.7Goals against / game1.0
61%Ball possession48%
17.4Shots per game14.4
5.3Corners per game6.3
2.34Expected goals1.35

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

SalzburgRateSturm Graz
70%Wins40%
80%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.530%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Salzburg DWLDL
D 22 Oct Celje(Svn) Salzburg(Aut) 2 2 5.40 1.67
W 18 Oct Salzburg Altach 2 0 1.44 7.00
L 15 Oct Salzburg(Aut) AC Milan(Ita) 0 4 4.15 1.95
D 10 Oct Grazer AK Salzburg 0 0 5.60 1.60
L 2 Oct Salzburg(Aut) BW Linz(Aut) 1 2 1.40 6.40
W 17 Sept Levski Sofia(Bul) Salzburg(Aut) 0 1 3.35 2.17
D 11 Sept Ried Salzburg 1 1 5.80 1.50
W 6 Sept St. Polten Salzburg 0 3 12.00 1.22
W 2 Sept Salzburg SK Rapid 5 1 1.87 3.95
W 30 Aug Salzburg Austria Vienna 4 1 1.37 7.50
Sturm Graz WWLWW
W 22 Oct Sturm Graz(Aut) Marseille(Fra) 1 0 3.25 2.27
W 18 Oct Sturm Graz Grazer AK 6 1 1.92 3.95
L 15 Oct Bournemouth(Eng) Sturm Graz(Aut) 3 0 1.18 18.00
W 10 Oct Austria Vienna Sturm Graz 0 2 3.25 2.12
W 2 Oct Sturm Graz(Aut) Floridsdo(Aut) 3 1 1.40 5.80
D 16 Sept Sturm Graz(Aut) Rennes(Fra) 0 0 4.50 1.78
W 13 Sept Sturm Graz LASK 2 1 3.45 1.95
W 5 Sept Voitsberg Sturm Graz 1 4 6.30 1.40
L 30 Aug SK Rapid Sturm Graz 3 1 2.14 3.15
D 22 Aug Sturm Graz A. Lustenau 1 1 1.38 7.70

Past meetings

Salzburg
0·3·3
Sturm Graz
  • May 2026 Salzburg 1 - 1 Sturm Graz
  • Mar 2026 Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Salzburg
  • Nov 2025 Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Salzburg
  • Sept 2025 Salzburg 0 - 2 Sturm Graz
  • May 2025 Sturm Graz 4 - 2 Salzburg
  • Apr 2025 Salzburg 1 - 2 Sturm Graz

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 SK Rapid 11 +18 26
2 Salzburg 11 +16 23
3 LASK 11 +14 21
4 Sturm Graz 11 +6 19
5 Ried 11 +1 16
6 WSG Wattens 11 -2 13
7 Hartberg 11 -4 13
8 Grazer AK 11 -15 11
9 A. Lustenau 11 -8 10
10 Austria Vienna 11 -9 9
11 Altach 11 -6 8
12 Wolfsberger AC 11 -11 7
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