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Salzburg (Aut) vs Sturm Graz prediction — Bundesliga

Bundesliga · Austria
Salzburg (Aut) €100.05m
Full time 3 : 0
Sturm Graz €60.42m
1 1.56
X 4.95
2 5.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
59%Chance
Red Bull Salzburg win 1 Odds @1.56 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Salzburg (Aut) 59%@1.56
Draw 21%@4.95
Sturm Graz 20%@5.40
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 70%@1.36
Under 2.5 30%@3.17
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.45
No 42%@2.55
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 79%@1.27
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Salzburg (Aut)ModelSturm Graz
2.07xG1.11
57%Ball possession43%
18Shots12
6Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made12
Salzburg (Aut)RealSturm Graz
1.43xG0.59
55%Ball possession45%
15Shots14
7Shots on goal2
3Corner kicks8
0Yellow cards3
2Offside calls3
11Fouls made14
Salzburg (Aut)Real · ModelSturm Graz
1.432.07xG0.591.11
55%57%Ball possession45%43%
1518Shots1412
76Shots on goal24
35Corner kicks85
01Yellow cards32
21Offside calls32
1110Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Salzburg (Aut)Per gameSturm Graz
2.5Goals for / game1.2
0.7Goals against / game1.0
61%Ball possession48%
17.4Shots per game14.4
5.3Corners per game6.3
2.34Expected goals1.35

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Salzburg (Aut)RateSturm Graz
70%Wins40%
80%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.530%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Salzburg (Aut) LWDWW
L 2 Oct Salzburg (Aut)(Aut) BW Linz(Aut) 1 2 1.40 6.40
W 17 Sept Levski Sofia(Bul) Salzburg (Aut)(Aut) 0 1 3.35 2.17
D 11 Sept Ried Salzburg (Aut) 1 1 5.80 1.50
W 6 Sept St. Polten Salzburg (Aut) 0 3 12.00 1.22
W 2 Sept Salzburg (Aut) SK Rapid 5 1 1.87 3.95
W 30 Aug Salzburg (Aut) Austria Vienna 4 1 1.37 7.50
W 27 Aug Salzburg (Aut)(Aut) Mjallby(Swe) 3 0 1.28 12.50
W 20 Aug Mjallby(Swe) Salzburg (Aut)(Aut) 0 1 4.30 1.85
W 16 Aug WSG Wattens Salzburg (Aut) 0 3 7.50 1.40
D 13 Aug Pafos(Cyp) Salzburg (Aut)(Aut) 3 3 3.15 2.40
Sturm Graz WDWWL
W 2 Oct Sturm Graz(Aut) Floridsdo(Aut) 3 1 1.40 5.80
D 16 Sept Sturm Graz(Aut) Rennes(Fra) 0 0 4.50 1.78
W 13 Sept Sturm Graz LASK 2 1 3.45 1.95
W 5 Sept Voitsberg Sturm Graz 1 4 6.30 1.40
L 30 Aug SK Rapid Sturm Graz 3 1 2.14 3.15
D 22 Aug Sturm Graz A. Lustenau 1 1 1.38 7.70
W 15 Aug Sturm Graz Altach 1 0 1.64 5.30
L 11 Aug Sturm Graz Fenerbahce 0 1 4.40 1.80
W 8 Aug Hartberg Sturm Graz 0 2 5.30 1.72
L 5 Aug Fenerbahce Sturm Graz 2 0 1.36 9.50

Past meetings

Salzburg (Aut)
0·3·3
Sturm Graz
  • May 2026 Salzburg (Aut) 1 - 1 Sturm Graz
  • Mar 2026 Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Salzburg (Aut)
  • Nov 2025 Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Salzburg (Aut)
  • Sept 2025 Salzburg (Aut) 0 - 2 Sturm Graz
  • May 2025 Sturm Graz 4 - 2 Salzburg (Aut)
  • Apr 2025 Salzburg (Aut) 1 - 2 Sturm Graz

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 SK Rapid 9 +14 20
2 Salzburg (Aut) 8 +14 18
3 LASK 8 +12 17
4 Sturm Graz 8 -1 12
5 Hartberg 9 -3 10
6 Ried 8 -1 9
7 WSG Wattens 8 -3 9
8 A. Lustenau 8 -3 9
9 Grazer AK 8 -10 9
10 Austria Vienna 8 -6 8
11 Wolfsberger AC 8 -6 6
12 Altach 8 -7 4
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