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Rochdale vs Swindon prediction — League Two

League Two · England
Rochdale €3.03m
Full time 1 : 0
Swindon €4.38m
1 2.25
X 3.60
2 2.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
75%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.20 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Rochdale 32%@2.25
Draw 43%@3.60
Swindon 25%@2.95
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 75%@1.20
Under 1.5 25%@3.60
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@1.52
No 53%@2.40
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.80
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

RochdaleModelSwindon
1.14xG1.16
53%Ball possession47%
10Shots9
4Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made11
RochdaleRealSwindon
1.74xG0.97
61%Ball possession39%
15Shots12
5Shots on goal2
11Corner kicks5
0Yellow cards2
4Offside calls0
7Fouls made18
RochdaleReal · ModelSwindon
1.741.14xG0.971.16
61%53%Ball possession39%47%
1510Shots129
54Shots on goal23
114Corner kicks54
02Yellow cards22
42Offside calls02
711Fouls made1811

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

RochdalePer gameSwindon
1.2Goals for / game0.9
1.6Goals against / game1.5
53%Ball possession48%
9.1Shots per game8.9
3.7Corners per game4.1
0.84Expected goals1.16

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

RochdaleRateSwindon
30%Wins30%
80%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Rochdale WDWDL
W 26 Sept Fleetwood Rochdale 1 2 1.92 3.85
D 22 Sept Rochdale Liverpool U21 3 3 2.35 2.90
W 19 Sept Rochdale Oldham 2 0 3.45 2.05
D 12 Sept Walsall Rochdale 0 0 1.75 4.45
L 5 Sept Rochdale Gillingham 1 4 2.10 3.40
W 1 Sept Rochdale Shrewsbury 3 0 2.30 3.25
L 29 Aug Colchester Rochdale 1 0 2.10 3.55
L 22 Aug Rochdale Crawley 1 2 1.90 4.00
L 15 Aug Newport Rochdale 3 0 3.05 2.35
L 8 Aug Bradford Rochdale 2 0 1.57 5.50
Swindon DLLLL
D 26 Sept Swindon Accrington 1 1 2.20 3.15
L 22 Sept Swindon Newport 0 2 1.93 3.55
L 19 Sept Salford Swindon 1 0 1.52 5.50
L 15 Sept Swindon Crystal P 1 2 2.05 3.90
L 12 Sept York Swindon 4 0 1.62 4.80
W 5 Sept Swindon Colchester 3 1 2.70 2.50
W 1 Sept Swindon Port Vale 3 1 3.20 2.15
L 29 Aug Oldham Swindon 3 0 1.91 4.20
W 22 Aug Swindon Cheltenham 1 0 2.00 4.00
D 15 Aug Northampton Swindon 0 0 2.15 3.25

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barnet 9 +7 17
2 Salford 10 +3 17
3 York 10 +6 16
4 Walsall 10 +6 16
5 Crewe 10 +4 16
6 Cheltenham 10 +2 16
7 Bristol Rovers 10 0 16
8 Chesterfield 10 +3 15
9 Grimsby 10 +3 14
10 Gillingham 10 +2 14
11 Rochdale 10 -1 14
12 Tranmere 10 0 12
13 Oldham 10 -2 12
14 Swindon 10 -4 12
15 Shrewsbury 10 -5 12
16 Newport 10 0 11
17 Accrington 10 -1 11
18 Rotherham 10 -1 11
19 Fleetwood 10 -1 11
20 Exeter 10 -1 10
21 Colchester 10 -4 9
22 Northampton 9 -3 8
23 Port Vale 9 -6 7
24 Crawley 9 -7 6
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