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River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
River Plate €3.32m
Full time 2 : 2
Velez Sarsfield €21.48m
1 1.72
X 3.55
2 6.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
87%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.55 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
River Plate 73%@1.72
Draw 17%@3.55
Velez Sarsfield 10%@6.20
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 13%@10.37
Under 2.5 87%@1.55
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 27%@2.37
No 73%@1.60
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 89%@1.27
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

River PlateModelVelez Sarsfield
1.21xG0.86
56%Ball possession44%
14Shots9
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made11
River PlateRealVelez Sarsfield
0.54xG0.96
57%Ball possession43%
13Shots11
3Shots on goal4
3Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
4Offside calls0
13Fouls made13
River PlateReal · ModelVelez Sarsfield
0.541.21xG0.960.86
57%56%Ball possession43%44%
1314Shots119
35Shots on goal44
36Corner kicks54
22Yellow cards13
42Offside calls01
1313Fouls made1311

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

River PlatePer gameVelez Sarsfield
1.0Goals for / game1.2
1.2Goals against / game0.7
64%Ball possession55%
12.4Shots per game12.3
5.4Corners per game5.3
1.13Expected goals1.21

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

River PlateRateVelez Sarsfield
20%Wins40%
50%Over 1.560%
40%Over 2.520%
30%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

River Plate LWWWD
L 19 Sept River Plate Huracan 1 2 1.55 8.25
W 12 Sept Atl. Tucuman River Plate 1 2 4.10 2.10
W 6 Sept River Plate Ind. Rivadavia 3 1 1.75 5.80
W 30 Aug Banfield River Plate 2 3 6.80 1.62
D 27 Aug River Plate(Arg) Santa Fe(Col) 1 1 1.28 14.00
D 20 Aug Santa Fe(Col) River Plate(Arg) 0 0 3.60 2.50
W 16 Aug River Plate Argentinos Jrs 2 0 1.98 4.60
L 8 Aug Tigre River Plate 1 0 3.45 2.45
L 2 Aug River Plate Rosario Central 0 1 1.94 5.00
L 29 Jul Gimnasia L.P. River Plate 1 0 4.60 1.98
Velez Sarsfield WDWDD
W 21 Sept Velez Sarsfield Tigre 3 2 2.30 3.65
D 11 Sept Newells Velez Sarsfield 1 1 2.90 2.87
W 6 Sept Velez Sarsfield Estudiant 1 0 2.45 3.55
D 3 Sept Velez Sarsfield Boca Juniors 0 0 4.60 1.89
D 29 Aug Dep. Riestra Velez Sarsfield 1 1 2.65 3.30
D 17 Aug Velez Sarsfield Defensa J 1 1 1.92 4.75
D 8 Aug Boca Juniors Velez Sarsfield 1 1 1.70 6.00
W 3 Aug Velez Sarsfield Independiente 1 0 2.55 3.15
W 30 Jul Talleres Velez Sarsfield 1 3 2.57 3.45
W 24 Jul Velez Sarsfield Instituto 1 0 2.23 3.95

Past meetings

River Plate
1·2·1
Velez Sarsfield
  • Feb 2026 Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 River Plate
  • Nov 2025 Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 River Plate
  • May 2025 River Plate 4 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
  • Oct 2024 River Plate 1 - 1 Velez Sarsfield

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 29 +11 54
2 Belgrano 30 +12 52
3 Rosario Central 29 +9 51
4 Ind. Rivadavia 27 +12 47
5 Instituto 26 +11 47
6 Boca Juniors 26 +16 45
7 River Plate 30 +10 45
8 Gimnasia L.P. 28 0 45
9 Velez Sarsfield 26 +9 43
10 Huracan 27 +8 43
11 Estudiant 27 +9 39
12 Independiente 26 +1 39
13 Union S 28 +2 37
14 Defensa J 26 +1 37
15 Lanus 27 +3 36
16 Racing Club 28 0 36
17 Barracas 25 0 35
18 Gimnasia M. 26 -3 35
19 Sarmiento Junin 26 -6 34
20 Talleres 26 -3 32
21 Newells 25 -6 32
22 Tigre 26 0 29
23 San Lorenzo 26 -8 29
24 Banfield 26 -6 28
25 Atl. Tucuman 25 -4 26
26 Central C 25 -14 25
27 Dep. Riestra 25 -7 22
28 Platense 25 -13 20
29 Aldosivi 26 -18 15
30 Estudiant 26 -26 11
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