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River Plate vs Nacional prediction — Copa Uruguay

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay
River Plate €138.75m
Full time 2 : 3
Nacional €19.92m
1 4.55
X 3.30
2 1.93

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
85%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.23 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
River Plate 55%@4.55
Draw 17%@3.30
Nacional 28%@1.93
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 21%@4.63
Under 3.5 79%@1.23
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 57%@2.05
No 43%@1.82
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 65%@2.08
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

River PlateModelNacional
46%Ball possession54%
8Shots9
4Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks8
0Yellow cards3
2Offside calls0
11Fouls made14
River PlateRealNacional
46%Ball possession54%
11Shots10
7Shots on goal7
7Corner kicks3
3Offside calls2
12Fouls made9
River PlateReal · ModelNacional
46%46%Ball possession54%54%
118Shots109
74Shots on goal73
75Corner kicks38
32Offside calls20
1211Fouls made914

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

River PlatePer gameNacional
1.3Goals for / game0.8
0.5Goals against / game1.1
47%Ball possession56%
8.7Shots per game8.1
5.4Corners per game7.6

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

River PlateRateNacional
50%Wins40%
60%Over 1.560%
30%Over 2.550%
30%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

River Plate LWDDL
L 4 Oct La Luz River Plate 3 2 2.65 2.70
W 26 Sept River Plate Colon 3 0 2.17 3.30
D 20 Sept Cerrito River Plate 1 1 2.43 2.65
D 16 Sept Albion River Plate 0 0 2.20 3.25
L 13 Sept River Plate Fenix 0 1 2.70 2.40
L 6 Sept Atenas River Plate 3 2 2.80 2.70
D 30 Aug River Plate Rentistas 0 0 2.62 2.82
W 26 Aug Progreso River Plate 0 2 2.45 2.85
D 22 Aug Paysandu River Plate 0 0 3.30 2.32
W 15 Aug River Plate Miramar 3 0 2.02 3.55
Nacional WWWDD
W 26 Sept Cerro Largo Nacional 0 2 4.75 1.72
W 20 Sept Nacional Defensor Sp. 3 2 1.71 4.65
W 16 Sept Progreso Nacional 0 1 8.50 1.35
D 12 Sept Wanderers Nacional 1 1 4.60 1.80
D 6 Sept Nacional Juventud 2 2 1.83 4.70
W 30 Aug Penarol Nacional 0 1 2.27 3.25
D 27 Aug Nacional Albion 0 0 2.06 3.55
W 23 Aug Nacional Progreso 1 0 1.45 6.60
L 15 Aug Racing M Nacional 2 0 3.75 2.33
L 9 Aug Nacional Boston River 1 2 1.47 6.80

Past meetings

River Plate
0·2·2
Nacional
  • Aug 2025 River Plate 0 - 3 Nacional
  • Mar 2025 Nacional 3 - 3 River Plate
  • Aug 2024 River Plate 3 - 3 Nacional
  • Feb 2024 Nacional 2 - 1 River Plate

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Maldonado 4 +6 10
2 Boston River 4 +4 10
3 Central Esp. 4 +5 8
4 Nacional 4 +2 8
5 Cerrito 4 +2 7
6 Juventud 4 +1 7
7 Plaza Colonia 4 +1 7
8 Liverpool M. 3 +4 6
9 Penarol 4 +1 6
10 Albion 4 +1 6
11 Torque 4 +1 5
12 River Plate 4 +1 5
13 Rentistas 4 0 5
14 Danubio 4 -1 5
15 Cerro Largo 3 0 4
16 Racing M 3 -4 3
17 Atenas 3 -1 2
18 Defensor Sp. 3 -1 2
19 Wanderers 4 -5 2
20 Oriental 3 -2 1
21 Fenix 3 -3 1
22 Cerro 3 -3 1
23 Colon 3 -5 1
24 Progreso 3 -4 0
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