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Riga vs BFC Daugavpils prediction — Virsliga

Virsliga · Latvia
1 1.22
X 7.20
2 11.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
76%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.32 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Riga 60%@1.22
Draw 24%@7.20
BFC Daugavpils 16%@11.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 76%@1.32
Under 2.5 24%@4.18
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.88
No 56%@2.02
Bet Builder
1X & Over 2.5 70%@1.41
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

RigaModelBFC Daugavpils
1.94xG0.97
52%Ball possession48%
20Shots12
9Shots on goal6
8Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
14Fouls made15
RigaRealBFC Daugavpils
1.25xG0.42
71%Ball possession29%
16Shots5
8Shots on goal1
6Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards0
3Offside calls0
13Fouls made10
RigaReal · ModelBFC Daugavpils
1.251.94xG0.420.97
71%52%Ball possession29%48%
1620Shots512
89Shots on goal16
68Corner kicks34
12Yellow cards02
32Offside calls02
1314Fouls made1015

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

RigaPer gameBFC Daugavpils
2.4Goals for / game1.9
1.2Goals against / game1.1
58%Ball possession52%
16.6Shots per game14.4
7.0Corners per game4.3
1.75Expected goals1.28

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

RigaRateBFC Daugavpils
60%Wins50%
80%Over 1.570%
70%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Riga WWWDW
W 3 Oct Aris(Cyp) Riga(Lva) 1 2 – –
W 19 Sept Jelgava Riga 0 1 7.50 1.33
W 15 Sept Super Nova Riga 0 1 10.00 1.25
D 11 Sept Riga Auda 2 2 1.36 7.50
W 3 Sept Rigas FS Riga 2 3 2.27 2.95
L 31 Aug FK Liepaja Riga 3 2 6.40 1.41
W 27 Aug Riga(Lva) Klaksvik(Fro) 2 1 1.42 7.60
D 23 Aug Rigas FS Riga 3 3 2.48 2.80
D 20 Aug Klaksvik(Fro) Riga(Lva) 0 0 3.50 2.00
W 16 Aug Riga Metta 4 1 – –
BFC Daugavpils DLLLD
D 19 Sept FK Liepaja BFC Daugavpils 0 0 2.15 3.10
L 13 Sept BFC Daugavpils Rigas FS 1 2 8.00 1.32
L 2 Sept BFC Daugavpils Auda 2 3 – –
L 29 Aug Grobina BFC Daugavpils 1 0 3.15 2.10
D 22 Aug Super Nova BFC Daugavpils 0 0 3.95 1.82
W 14 Aug BFC Daugavpils Ogre United 3 1 1.27 8.25
W 8 Aug BFC Daugavpils Tukums 2 0 1.75 4.05
W 1 Aug BFC Daugavpils Jelgava 2 1 2.12 3.25
L 26 Jul Auda BFC Daugavpils 1 0 2.25 3.15
W 19 Jul Ogre United BFC Daugavpils 0 4 3.95 1.87

Past meetings

Riga
4·2·0
BFC Daugavpils
  • Jun 2026 BFC Daugavpils 0 - 0 Riga
  • May 2026 BFC Daugavpils 1 - 3 Riga
  • Mar 2026 Riga 4 - 2 BFC Daugavpils
  • Sept 2025 BFC Daugavpils 0 - 1 Riga
  • Jul 2025 Riga 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils
  • May 2025 BFC Daugavpils 0 - 1 Riga

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 32 +49 76
2 Riga 32 +56 74
3 Auda 32 +19 62
4 FK Liepaja 32 -2 44
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 0 40
6 Super Nova 32 -11 37
7 Jelgava 32 -17 33
8 Grobina 32 -31 27
9 Tukums 32 -17 25
10 Ogre United 32 -46 19