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Richmond vs One Knoxville prediction — USL League One

1 4.00
X 3.75
2 1.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
70%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.60 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Richmond 25%@4.00
Draw 27%@3.75
One Knoxville 48%@1.80
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 70%@1.60
Under 2.5 30%@3.73
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@1.59
No 55%@2.30
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 2.5 62%@1.90
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:3 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Richmond ModelOne Knoxville
1.12xG1.06
47%Ball possession53%
13Shots12
4Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
14Fouls made15
Richmond RealOne Knoxville
1.62xG1.81
40%Ball possession60%
18Shots14
7Shots on goal5
8Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
0Offside calls2
15Fouls made15
Richmond Real · ModelOne Knoxville
1.621.12xG1.811.06
40%47%Ball possession60%53%
1813Shots1412
74Shots on goal55
85Corner kicks46
12Yellow cards22
02Offside calls22
1514Fouls made1515

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Richmond Per gameOne Knoxville
1.3Goals for / game1.3
2.3Goals against / game1.1
44%Ball possession54%
14.4Shots per game12.3
4.9Corners per game5.6
1.08Expected goals1.12

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Richmond RateOne Knoxville
20%Wins30%
100%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.550%
70%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Richmond LLLDL
L 27 Sept NY Cosmos Richmond 3 2 1.67 4.70
L 19 Sept Richmond Charlotte 1 2 3.70 1.85
L 17 Sept Westchester SC Richmond 5 2 1.72 4.05
D 12 Sept Richmond Chattanoo 1 1 2.85 2.30
L 3 Sept Fort Wayne Richmond 2 0 1.40 6.10
L 30 Aug Richmond Forward Madison 0 2 3.65 1.85
D 23 Aug Richmond Portland H 1 1 2.48 2.57
L 17 Aug Union Omaha Richmond 5 1 1.34 8.50
W 6 Aug Richmond NY Cosmos 2 0 2.60 2.47
W 2 Aug Richmond Alta 3 2 3.00 2.12
One Knoxville DLWDW
D 28 Sept One Knoxville Westchester SC 0 0 1.63 4.40
L 20 Sept Union Omaha One Knoxville 2 1 1.88 3.65
W 17 Sept Fort Wayne One Knoxville 2 3 2.18 2.92
D 12 Sept One Knoxville Naples 0 0 1.78 4.35
W 6 Sept Alta One Knoxville 1 2 3.05 2.17
D 3 Sept Forward Madison One Knoxville 1 1 2.30 2.88
D 23 Aug One Knoxville Boise 2 2 2.23 2.92
D 20 Aug One Knoxville Portland H 1 1 1.67 4.30
D 16 Aug Greenville One Knoxville 1 1 2.70 2.50
W 9 Aug One Knoxville Sarasota P 2 1 1.74 4.40

Past meetings

Richmond
3·2·1
One Knoxville
  • Mar 2026 One Knoxville 1 - 0 Richmond
  • Oct 2025 Richmond 2 - 1 One Knoxville
  • Aug 2025 Richmond 1 - 0 One Knoxville
  • Aug 2025 One Knoxville 1 - 1 Richmond
  • Jun 2024 One Knoxville 1 - 2 Richmond
  • May 2024 Richmond 1 - 1 One Knoxville

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 30 +22 62
2 Charlotte 30 +25 61
3 Forward Madison 31 +24 54
4 One Knoxville 32 +12 51
5 Chattanoo 29 +13 50
6 Boise 29 +5 47
7 Spokane V 29 +3 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 +6 41
9 Corpus C 30 -8 38
10 Naples 30 -8 37
11 Westchester SC 31 +3 35
12 Alta 31 -8 34
13 Portland H 30 -10 32
14 Sarasota P 26 -4 30
15 NY Cosmos 29 -20 26
16 Richmond 30 -29 25
17 Greenville 30 -26 23
18 Tormenta 5 0 5