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Real Sociedad vs Atl. Madrid prediction — La Liga

La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad €278.30m
Full time 0 : 3
Atl. Madrid €679.70m
1 3.45
X 3.80
2 2.17

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
76%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.71 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Real Sociedad 22%@3.45
Draw 43%@3.80
Atl. Madrid 35%@2.17
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 76%@1.71
Under 2.5 24%@5.42
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 71%@1.59
No 29%@2.48
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.58
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Real SociedadModelAtl. Madrid
1.09xG0.93
48%Ball possession52%
12Shots13
7Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
Real SociedadRealAtl. Madrid
0.30xG1.46
53%Ball possession47%
9Shots13
3Shots on goal5
9Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made9
Real SociedadReal · ModelAtl. Madrid
0.301.09xG1.460.93
53%48%Ball possession47%52%
912Shots1313
37Shots on goal56
96Corner kicks36
32Yellow cards12
12Offside calls12
1313Fouls made912

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Real SociedadPer gameAtl. Madrid
1.5Goals for / game1.7
1.8Goals against / game2.0
48%Ball possession51%
13.7Shots per game10.8
6.5Corners per game4.3
1.04Expected goals0.87

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Real SociedadRateAtl. Madrid
40%Wins40%
80%Over 1.5100%
80%Over 2.590%
80%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Real Sociedad WLWDW
W 20 Sept Valencia Real Sociedad 2 3 2.80 2.70
L 17 Sept Real Sociedad(Esp) Bournemouth(Eng) 1 2 3.60 2.15
W 7 Sept Elche Real Sociedad 2 3 3.30 2.32
D 3 Sept Real Sociedad Celta Vigo 0 0 1.87 4.50
W 29 Aug Real Sociedad Espanyol 2 1 1.90 4.30
L 26 Aug Real Madrid Real Sociedad 4 1 1.22 15.50
L 21 Aug Betis Real Sociedad 1 0 2.17 3.65
L 15 Aug Chelsea(Eng) Real Sociedad(Esp) 3 1 1.57 5.60
L 8 Aug FC Koln Real Sociedad 2 1 2.35 2.88
L 31 Jul Toulouse Real Sociedad 2 1 2.75 2.40
Atl. Madrid WWLLW
W 20 Sept Atl. Madrid Real Madrid 2 1 3.60 2.05
W 16 Sept Atl. Madrid Osasuna 4 0 1.36 10.50
L 9 Sept Liverpool(Eng) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 2 1 1.80 4.75
L 5 Sept Athletic C Atl. Madrid 3 0 3.00 2.55
W 29 Aug Sevilla Atl. Madrid 1 3 4.30 2.00
D 23 Aug Atl. Madrid Villarreal 2 2 1.87 4.40
W 19 Aug Atl. Madrid Malaga 2 0 1.52 7.50
W 14 Aug Marseille(Fra) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 1 2 3.05 2.22
L 9 Aug Manchester City Atl. Madrid 3 1 1.82 3.90
L 1 Aug Manchester Utd Atl. Madrid 2 1 2.25 3.20

Past meetings

Real Sociedad
0·3·3
Atl. Madrid
  • Apr 2026 Atl. Madrid 2 - 2 Real Sociedad
  • Mar 2026 Atl. Madrid 3 - 2 Real Sociedad
  • Jan 2026 Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Atl. Madrid
  • May 2025 Atl. Madrid 4 - 0 Real Sociedad
  • Oct 2024 Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Atl. Madrid
  • May 2024 Real Sociedad 0 - 2 Atl. Madrid

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 +24 22
2 Atl. Madrid 8 +9 17
3 Betis 8 +2 17
4 Real Madrid 8 +10 16
5 Sevilla 8 +1 14
6 Alaves 8 +5 12
7 Dep. A Coruna 9 +2 12
8 Real Sociedad 8 -4 11
9 Villarreal 8 +1 9
10 Athletic C 7 +1 9
11 Getafe 8 -3 9
12 Rayo Vallecano 8 -5 9
13 Osasuna 8 -7 9
14 Celta Vigo 8 +2 8
15 Espanyol 8 0 8
16 Racing S 8 -10 8
17 Levante 8 -4 7
18 Elche 8 -6 6
19 Valencia 8 -9 5
20 Malaga 8 -9 4
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