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Reading vs Notts County prediction — League One

League One · England
Reading €12.40m
Full time 2 : 0
Notts County €7.55m
1 1.82
X 3.70
2 4.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
95%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.24 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Reading 82%@1.82
Draw 10%@3.70
Notts County 8%@4.40
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 78%@1.27
Under 1.5 22%@4.50
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.74
No 41%@2.00
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 65%@1.53
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ReadingModelNotts County
1.88xG0.99
52%Ball possession48%
18Shots9
5Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made14
ReadingRealNotts County
2.61xG0.60
48%Ball possession52%
17Shots12
7Shots on goal2
4Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards1
4Offside calls0
13Fouls made12
ReadingReal · ModelNotts County
2.611.88xG0.600.99
48%52%Ball possession52%48%
1718Shots129
75Shots on goal23
46Corner kicks14
22Yellow cards12
42Offside calls02
1311Fouls made1214

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ReadingPer gameNotts County
2.1Goals for / game0.9
1.1Goals against / game1.3
47%Ball possession41%
16.0Shots per game11.6
6.0Corners per game4.7
1.87Expected goals1.19

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ReadingRateNotts County
40%Wins10%
90%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.530%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Reading DDLLW
D 3 Oct Reading Bradford 1 1 2.15 3.40
D 26 Sept Wycombe Reading 2 2 2.70 2.50
L 15 Sept Reading Brentford 1 2 12.00 1.25
L 12 Sept Cambridge Utd Reading 2 1 2.77 2.70
W 5 Sept Reading Blackpool 3 1 1.91 4.40
W 2 Sept Reading Mansfield 5 0 2.07 3.35
W 25 Aug Stevenage Reading 0 3 2.57 3.05
D 22 Aug AFC Wimbledon Reading 0 0 2.77 2.65
D 18 Aug Reading Wycombe 1 1 2.60 2.50
L 15 Aug Reading Luton 3 4 3.10 2.32
Notts County WLDDW
W 22 Sept Notts County Grimsby 2 1 2.75 2.55
L 12 Sept Notts County Bradford 0 1 3.00 2.35
D 5 Sept Huddersfield Notts County 1 1 1.70 5.00
D 1 Sept Doncaster Notts County 1 1 2.20 3.30
W 29 Aug Notts County Burton 2 1 2.10 3.65
D 22 Aug Luton Notts County 2 2 1.55 5.80
D 15 Aug Notts County Leicester 1 1 3.75 2.05
D 8 Aug Burnley Notts County 1 1 1.44 7.70
D 1 Aug Walsall Notts County 0 0 2.82 2.40
L 18 Jul Notts County Nottingham 0 2 5.00 1.57

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 +6 19
2 Huddersfield 10 +7 17
3 Bradford 9 +3 17
4 Sheffield Wed 8 +7 15
5 Stockport 9 +7 14
6 Oxford Utd 9 +6 14
7 Cambridge Utd 9 +2 14
8 Reading 9 +7 13
9 Burton 10 -1 13
10 AFC Wimbledon 9 -2 13
11 Leyton Orient 9 +1 11
12 Leicester 9 -2 11
13 Mansfield 10 -3 11
14 Stevenage 8 +3 10
15 Luton 9 -2 10
16 Wycombe 9 -4 10
17 Blackpool 8 0 9
18 Barnsley 8 -5 9
19 Bromley 8 -10 9
20 Doncaster 9 -1 8
21 Notts County 8 -2 8
22 MK Dons 8 -2 7
23 Wigan 10 -6 7
24 Peterborough 9 -9 6
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