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Reading vs Brentford prediction — League Cup

League Cup · England
1 12.00
X 7.40
2 1.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
57%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @4.70 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Reading 22%@12.00
Draw 35%@7.40
Brentford 43%@1.25
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 75%@1.30
Under 2.5 25%@3.90
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 68%@1.70
No 32%@2.15

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ReadingModelBrentford
1.59xG1.63
49%Ball possession51%
14Shots17
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made13
ReadingRealBrentford
1.39xG3.21
29%Ball possession71%
17Shots24
3Shots on goal8
5Corner kicks7
2Offside calls3
8Fouls made11
ReadingReal · ModelBrentford
1.391.59xG3.211.63
29%49%Ball possession71%51%
1714Shots2417
35Shots on goal85
55Corner kicks75
22Offside calls31
812Fouls made1113

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ReadingPer gameBrentford
2.1Goals for / game2.7
0.9Goals against / game1.3
49%Ball possession49%
15.9Shots per game14.7
6.1Corners per game4.8
1.93Expected goals1.84

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ReadingRateBrentford
50%Wins40%
80%Over 1.5100%
60%Over 2.570%
50%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Reading DDWLW
D 3 Oct Reading Bradford 1 1 2.15 3.40
D 26 Sept Wycombe Reading 2 2 2.70 2.50
W 19 Sept Reading Notts County 2 0 1.82 4.40
L 12 Sept Cambridge Utd Reading 2 1 2.77 2.70
W 5 Sept Reading Blackpool 3 1 1.91 4.40
W 2 Sept Reading Mansfield 5 0 2.07 3.35
W 25 Aug Stevenage Reading 0 3 2.57 3.05
D 22 Aug AFC Wimbledon Reading 0 0 2.77 2.65
D 18 Aug Reading Wycombe 1 1 2.60 2.50
L 15 Aug Reading Luton 3 4 3.10 2.32
Brentford WDDDW
W 18 Sept Brentford Chelsea 3 0 2.70 2.62
D 12 Sept Bournemouth Brentford 2 2 2.37 2.90
D 5 Sept Brentford Sunderland 1 1 1.80 5.20
D 30 Aug Leeds Brentford 1 1 2.88 2.47
W 25 Aug Birmingham Brentford 1 6 4.25 1.90
W 22 Aug Brentford Tottenham 3 0 2.10 3.60
W 15 Aug Brentford(Eng) Frankfurt(Ger) 7 0 2.05 3.20
W 8 Aug Rennes Brentford 2 4 2.25 2.86
D 24 May Liverpool Brentford 1 1 1.90 4.20
D 17 May Brentford Crystal Palace 2 2 1.78 4.70

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.