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Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves prediction — La Liga

La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano €75.90m
Full time 1 : 1
Alaves €68.10m
1 2.45
X 3.15
2 3.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
79%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.36 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Rayo Vallecano 60%@2.45
Draw 21%@3.15
Alaves 19%@3.40
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 30%@3.71
Under 2.5 70%@1.59
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@2.03
No 56%@1.80
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 69%@1.50
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Rayo VallecanoModelAlaves
1.53xG1.32
55%Ball possession45%
15Shots12
7Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards3
1Offside calls2
16Fouls made14
Rayo VallecanoRealAlaves
0.41xG1.92
48%Ball possession52%
8Shots15
3Shots on goal3
9Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards2
0Offside calls0
14Fouls made13
Rayo VallecanoReal · ModelAlaves
0.411.53xG1.921.32
48%55%Ball possession52%45%
815Shots1512
37Shots on goal36
94Corner kicks75
13Yellow cards23
01Offside calls02
1416Fouls made1314

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Rayo VallecanoPer gameAlaves
1.2Goals for / game1.5
1.4Goals against / game0.9
53%Ball possession40%
11.7Shots per game12.0
3.2Corners per game5.0
1.28Expected goals1.31

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Rayo VallecanoRateAlaves
30%Wins50%
90%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.540%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Rayo Vallecano DWLWL
D 19 Sept Osasuna Rayo Vallecano 1 1 2.75 2.67
W 15 Sept Rayo Vallecano Espanyol 2 1 2.37 3.30
L 12 Sept Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano 4 1 1.18 18.00
W 5 Sept Rayo Vallecano Racing S 3 2 1.98 3.95
L 31 Aug Barcelona Rayo Vallecano 5 2 1.12 24.00
L 15 Aug Sevilla Rayo Vallecano 2 1 2.70 3.30
L 8 Aug Ipswich Rayo Vallecano 3 0 2.20 3.10
W 1 Aug Charleroi Rayo Vallecano 2 3 3.55 2.10
D 26 Jul Feyenoord Rayo Vallecano 1 1 2.40 2.70
L 17 Jul Heart M Rayo Vallecano 2 1 2.80 3.00
Alaves DLLWW
D 19 Sept Athletic C Alaves 0 0 1.65 6.00
L 15 Sept Alaves Valencia 0 1 1.80 6.00
L 12 Sept Racing S Alaves 2 1 2.65 2.65
W 6 Sept Alaves Osasuna 5 2 2.25 3.65
W 28 Aug Alaves Villarreal 1 0 3.15 2.35
W 15 Aug Alaves Getafe 3 0 2.37 3.90
D 7 Aug Racing S Alaves 1 1 2.80 2.35
W 31 Jul Alaves Castellon 3 0 1.74 4.40
W 25 Jul Girona Alaves 0 1 2.43 2.85
D 18 Jul Alaves Eibar 1 1 1.88 4.10

Past meetings

Rayo Vallecano
4·0·2
Alaves
  • May 2026 Alaves 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano
  • Jan 2026 Alaves 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
  • Oct 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Alaves
  • Mar 2025 Alaves 0 - 2 Rayo Vallecano
  • Oct 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Alaves
  • Mar 2024 Alaves 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 +24 22
2 Atl. Madrid 8 +9 17
3 Betis 8 +2 17
4 Real Madrid 8 +10 16
5 Sevilla 8 +1 14
6 Alaves 8 +5 12
7 Dep. A Coruna 9 +2 12
8 Real Sociedad 8 -4 11
9 Villarreal 8 +1 9
10 Athletic C 7 +1 9
11 Getafe 8 -3 9
12 Rayo Vallecano 8 -5 9
13 Osasuna 8 -7 9
14 Celta Vigo 8 +2 8
15 Espanyol 8 0 8
16 Racing S 8 -10 8
17 Levante 8 -4 7
18 Elche 8 -6 6
19 Valencia 8 -9 5
20 Malaga 8 -9 4
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