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Queretaro vs Toluca prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
Queretaro €22.10m
Full time 0 : 0
Toluca €92.50m
1 3.90
X 3.90
2 1.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.29 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Queretaro 19%@3.90
Draw 18%@3.90
Toluca 63%@1.95
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@4.33
Under 3.5 74%@1.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 29%@1.57
No 71%@2.33
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 72%@1.42
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

QueretaroModelToluca
0.98xG1.80
38%Ball possession62%
11Shots21
5Shots on goal10
3Corner kicks7
3Yellow cards1
3Offside calls2
13Fouls made11
QueretaroRealToluca
1.15xG0.28
46%Ball possession54%
8Shots6
0Shots on goal0
2Corner kicks3
0Yellow cards2
1Offside calls0
6Fouls made6
QueretaroReal · ModelToluca
1.150.98xG0.281.80
46%38%Ball possession54%62%
811Shots621
05Shots on goal010
23Corner kicks37
03Yellow cards21
13Offside calls02
613Fouls made611

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

QueretaroPer gameToluca
1.1Goals for / game1.6
1.2Goals against / game1.2
39%Ball possession63%
13.1Shots per game20.5
3.7Corners per game6.4
1.12Expected goals1.71

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

QueretaroRateToluca
40%Wins40%
70%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Queretaro WDWWD
W 27 Sept Guadalaja Queretaro 0 2 1.65 5.50
D 21 Sept Queretaro Leon 1 1 2.72 2.65
W 12 Sept Club Tijuana Queretaro 0 1 2.05 3.65
W 30 Aug Atlas Queretaro 1 3 2.15 3.55
D 16 Aug UNAM Pumas Queretaro 0 0 1.88 4.35
D 13 Aug Los A Queretaro 1 1 1.34 8.50
L 9 Aug Seattle S Queretaro 3 0 1.70 4.85
L 6 Aug FC Dallas Queretaro 2 0 2.37 3.10
W 2 Aug Queretaro Tigres UANL 3 2 3.20 2.32
W 27 Jul Pachuca Queretaro 1 2 1.67 5.60
Toluca LDLWW
L 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60

Past meetings

Queretaro
1·1·3
Toluca
  • Apr 2026 Queretaro 1 - 0 Toluca
  • Oct 2025 Toluca 4 - 0 Queretaro
  • Feb 2025 Toluca 5 - 0 Queretaro
  • Oct 2024 Queretaro 0 - 1 Toluca
  • Jan 2024 Queretaro 2 - 2 Toluca

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4
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