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Qarabag vs Samaxi FK prediction — Premyer Liqa

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaijan
Qarabag €24.73m
Full time 3 : 1
Samaxi FK €3.80m
1 1.35
X 5.10
2 7.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Qarabag win 1 Odds @1.35 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Qarabag 78%@1.35
Draw 13%@5.10
Samaxi FK 9%@7.40
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 24%@4.97
Under 3.5 76%@1.57
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@1.80
No 69%@1.92
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 86%@1.21
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

QarabagModelSamaxi FK
59%Ball possession41%
14Shots8
7Shots on goal4
9Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls0
8Fouls made0
QarabagRealSamaxi FK
60%Ball possession40%
21Shots6
11Shots on goal3
7Corner kicks4
0Yellow cards4
QarabagReal · ModelSamaxi FK
60%59%Ball possession40%41%
2114Shots68
117Shots on goal34
79Corner kicks43
01Yellow cards42

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

QarabagPer gameSamaxi FK
1.8Goals for / game0.8
1.1Goals against / game1.4
61%Ball possession43%
12.7Shots per game9.7
7.7Corners per game3.6

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

QarabagRateSamaxi FK
50%Wins30%
60%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.540%
20%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Qarabag WDWWL
W 18 Sept Qarabag Safa Baku 1 0 1.15 13.00
D 13 Sept Zira Qarabag 1 1 3.70 1.97
W 6 Sept Qarabag Araz 3 2 1.19 11.75
W 31 Aug Sumqayit Qarabag 0 1 7.70 1.33
L 27 Aug Qarabag(Aze) Twente(Ned) 1 4 3.75 1.94
W 20 Aug Twente(Ned) Qarabag(Aze) 0 1 1.50 6.50
W 17 Aug Qarabag Samaxi FK 3 1 1.35 7.40
W 13 Aug Qarabag Dyn. Kyiv 2 0 1.95 4.10
L 6 Aug Dyn. Kyiv Qarabag 1 0 2.25 3.40
D 30 Jul CSKA Sofia Qarabag 0 0 2.82 2.65
Samaxi FK WDWDD
W 20 Sept Samaxi FK Araz 2 1 2.15 3.25
D 12 Sept Sumqayit Samaxi FK 1 1 2.67 2.70
W 4 Sept Kapaz Samaxi FK 1 4 2.75 2.76
D 29 Aug Qabala Samaxi FK 0 0 1.95 3.95
D 23 Aug Turan Samaxi FK 0 0 1.56 5.90
L 17 Aug Qarabag Samaxi FK 3 1 1.35 7.40
L 21 May Qabala Samaxi FK 3 1 1.64 6.30
W 16 May Samaxi FK Turan 3 2 4.05 2.06
L 10 May Neftci Baku Samaxi FK 3 0 1.57 6.25
L 3 May Samaxi FK Sabah FA 0 3 6.25 1.61

Past meetings

Qarabag
3·2·1
Samaxi FK
  • Aug 2026 Qarabag 3 - 1 Samaxi FK
  • Apr 2026 Samaxi FK 0 - 0 Qarabag
  • Feb 2026 Samaxi FK 1 - 2 Qarabag
  • Feb 2026 Samaxi FK 2 - 1 Qarabag
  • Oct 2025 Qarabag 0 - 0 Samaxi FK
  • May 2025 Samaxi FK 0 - 1 Qarabag

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 +13 16
2 Sabah FA 6 +13 16
3 Qarabag 6 +5 14
4 Turan 7 +2 12
5 Samaxi FK 8 +2 11
6 Zira 7 -1 11
7 Kapaz 6 -3 8
8 Imisli FK 7 -5 5
9 Qabala 7 -5 5
10 Safa Baku 8 -9 5
11 Sumqayit 7 -4 4
12 Araz 8 -8 4
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