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Qarabag vs Araz prediction — Premyer Liqa

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaijan
Qarabag €27.58m
Full time 3 : 2
Araz €5.82m
1 1.19
X 6.70
2 11.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
79%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.60 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Qarabag 72%@1.19
Draw 18%@6.70
Araz 10%@11.75
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 27%@4.33
Under 3.5 73%@1.60
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 27%@2.15
No 73%@1.66
Bet Builder
1 & Under 5.5 73%@1.34
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

QarabagModelAraz
56%Ball possession44%
15Shots7
7Shots on goal3
8Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls0
6Fouls made0
QarabagRealAraz
59%Ball possession41%
16Shots9
9Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards3
QarabagReal · ModelAraz
59%56%Ball possession41%44%
1615Shots97
97Shots on goal43
78Corner kicks43
12Yellow cards32

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

QarabagPer gameAraz
1.4Goals for / game0.8
0.4Goals against / game1.7
57%Ball possession48%
13.0Shots per game7.3
7.4Corners per game4.2

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

QarabagRateAraz
60%Wins20%
50%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.550%
20%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Qarabag WDWLW
W 18 Sept Qarabag Safa Baku 1 0 1.15 13.00
D 13 Sept Zira Qarabag 1 1 3.70 1.97
W 31 Aug Sumqayit Qarabag 0 1 7.70 1.33
L 27 Aug Qarabag(Aze) Twente(Ned) 1 4 3.75 1.94
W 20 Aug Twente(Ned) Qarabag(Aze) 0 1 1.50 6.50
W 17 Aug Qarabag Samaxi FK 3 1 1.35 7.40
W 13 Aug Qarabag Dyn. Kyiv 2 0 1.95 4.10
L 6 Aug Dyn. Kyiv Qarabag 1 0 2.25 3.40
D 30 Jul CSKA Sofia Qarabag 0 0 2.82 2.65
D 23 Jul Qarabag CSKA Sofia 0 0 1.50 6.50
Araz LDLLD
L 20 Sept Samaxi FK Araz 2 1 2.15 3.25
D 13 Sept Araz Turan 2 2 4.70 1.75
L 31 Aug Araz Sabah FA 0 1 6.80 1.44
L 23 Aug Neftci Baku Araz 5 0 1.47 6.30
D 15 Aug Araz Imisli FK 0 0 2.20 3.25
W 23 May Araz Zira 3 2 3.45 2.35
W 15 May Araz Kapaz 2 0 2.10 3.60
L 9 May Sumqayit Araz 2 1 2.70 2.65
L 2 May Araz Imisli FK 0 1 2.40 3.35
D 25 Apr Qabala Araz 1 1 2.22 3.10

Past meetings

Qarabag
5·0·1
Araz
  • Mar 2026 Qarabag 6 - 0 Araz
  • Dec 2025 Qarabag 5 - 1 Araz
  • Sept 2025 Araz 0 - 5 Qarabag
  • May 2025 Qarabag 2 - 0 Araz
  • Apr 2025 Qarabag 3 - 0 Araz
  • Apr 2025 Araz 1 - 0 Qarabag

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 +13 16
2 Sabah FA 6 +13 16
3 Qarabag 6 +5 14
4 Turan 7 +2 12
5 Samaxi FK 8 +2 11
6 Zira 7 -1 11
7 Kapaz 6 -3 8
8 Imisli FK 7 -5 5
9 Qabala 7 -5 5
10 Safa Baku 8 -9 5
11 Sumqayit 7 -4 4
12 Araz 8 -8 4
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