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Puebla vs Toluca prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
Puebla €19.17m
Full time 0 : 1
Toluca €92.50m
1 5.80
X 4.65
2 1.57

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
59%Chance
Toluca win 2 Odds @1.57 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Puebla 18%@5.80
Draw 23%@4.65
Toluca 59%@1.57
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 30%@3.73
Under 3.5 70%@1.60
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 41%@1.66
No 59%@2.18
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 80%@1.31
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PueblaModelToluca
1.02xG1.88
42%Ball possession58%
11Shots19
4Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
11Fouls made12
PueblaRealToluca
0.46xG1.95
44%Ball possession56%
13Shots11
2Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls3
7Fouls made14
PueblaReal · ModelToluca
0.461.02xG1.951.88
44%42%Ball possession56%58%
1311Shots1119
24Shots on goal35
65Corner kicks55
12Yellow cards12
11Offside calls32
711Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PueblaPer gameToluca
1.7Goals for / game1.7
2.3Goals against / game0.8
42%Ball possession63%
12.9Shots per game20.4
5.2Corners per game6.3
1.01Expected goals1.75

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PueblaRateToluca
40%Wins50%
90%Over 1.570%
70%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Puebla LDWLW
L 27 Sept Tigres UANL Puebla 1 0 1.67 5.40
D 19 Sept Puebla Atlante 1 1 2.36 3.00
W 12 Sept Necaxa Puebla 0 1 2.05 3.45
L 30 Aug Club America Puebla 2 0 1.55 6.25
W 23 Aug Puebla Santos Laguna 3 2 2.12 3.30
W 18 Aug Pachuca Puebla 2 3 1.60 6.00
L 13 Aug San Diego Puebla 3 2 1.69 4.60
L 10 Aug Austin Puebla 3 0 1.66 5.00
L 7 Aug Portland Puebla 5 2 1.54 5.35
D 1 Aug Puebla Guadalaja 1 1 5.60 1.53
Toluca LDLWW
L 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60

Past meetings

Puebla
0·2·3
Toluca
  • Jan 2026 Puebla 0 - 0 Toluca
  • Sept 2025 Toluca 3 - 1 Puebla
  • Mar 2025 Puebla 0 - 3 Toluca
  • Oct 2024 Toluca 5 - 0 Puebla
  • Jan 2024 Puebla 1 - 1 Toluca

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4
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