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PSV vs AZ Alkmaar prediction — Super Cup

Super Cup · Netherlands
PSV €283.60m
Full time 0 : 4
AZ Alkmaar €165.87m
1 1.67
X 4.75
2 5.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
76%Chance
AZ Alkmaar scores AS Odds @1.30 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
PSV 60%@1.67
Draw 21%@4.75
AZ Alkmaar 19%@5.25
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 76%@1.39
Under 2.5 24%@4.40
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.43
No 31%@2.75
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 84%@1.34
Half-time 2:0 Model
Exact score 3:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PSVModelAZ Alkmaar
2.44xG1.17
52%Ball possession48%
17Shots13
10Shots on goal7
7Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
9Fouls made11
PSVRealAZ Alkmaar
1.36xG3.38
35%Ball possession65%
15Shots22
6Shots on goal9
6Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls0
10Fouls made9
PSVReal · ModelAZ Alkmaar
1.362.44xG3.381.17
35%52%Ball possession65%48%
1517Shots2213
610Shots on goal97
67Corner kicks35
32Yellow cards22
21Offside calls01
109Fouls made911

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PSVPer gameAZ Alkmaar
3.3Goals for / game1.9
1.4Goals against / game1.4

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PSVRateAZ Alkmaar
60%Wins30%
100%Over 1.580%
80%Over 2.560%
80%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

PSV LWDWW
L 20 Sept Twente PSV 3 2 2.90 2.22
W 13 Sept PSV S. Rotterdam 4 1 1.22 13.50
D 10 Sept PSV(Ned) Shakhtar (Ukr) 1 1 1.53 6.40
W 5 Sept Ajax PSV 1 3 2.62 2.55
W 30 Aug Utrecht PSV 1 6 5.60 1.53
W 23 Aug PSV Groningen 5 1 1.30 10.00
W 15 Aug Excelsior PSV 1 2 6.80 1.47
D 8 Aug PSV Sittard (Ned) 2 2 1.19 17.00
W 28 Jul PSV FC Eindhoven 3 0 1.42 6.00
L 25 Jul PSV Villarreal 1 3 1.83 3.70
AZ Alkmaar WLDWW
W 20 Sept AZ Alkmaar Telstar 1 0 1.31 10.00
L 16 Sept Sunderland(Eng) AZ Alkmaar(Ned) 1 0 1.55 6.50
D 11 Sept AZ Alkmaar Willem II 1 1 1.19 17.00
W 6 Sept Heerenveen AZ Alkmaar 2 3 3.90 1.90
W 29 Aug AZ Alkmaar G.A. Eagles 5 2 1.37 8.50
W 22 Aug Sittard (Ned) AZ Alkmaar 0 2 5.40 1.61
W 15 Aug Utrecht AZ Alkmaar 1 4 2.95 2.38
W 8 Aug AZ Alkmaar Den Haag 2 0 1.40 7.90
W 25 Jul AZ Alkmaar Olympiakos 3 2 2.02 3.45
W 22 Jul AZ Alkmaar Genk 4 0 2.00 3.30

Past meetings

PSV
4·1·0
AZ Alkmaar
  • Mar 2026 PSV 2 - 1 AZ Alkmaar
  • Nov 2025 AZ Alkmaar 1 - 5 PSV
  • Jan 2025 PSV 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar
  • Oct 2024 AZ Alkmaar 1 - 2 PSV
  • Apr 2024 PSV 5 - 1 AZ Alkmaar
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