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PSG vs Monaco prediction — Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · France
PSG €1.39bn
Full time 1 : 2
Monaco €325.80m
1 1.38
X 6.10
2 8.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
70%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.36 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
PSG 55%@1.38
Draw 26%@6.10
Monaco 19%@8.25
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 70%@1.36
Under 2.5 30%@3.17
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.61
No 40%@2.40
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 79%@1.21
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PSGModelMonaco
1.59xG1.21
56%Ball possession44%
20Shots12
8Shots on goal7
8Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
8Fouls made12
PSGRealMonaco
2.18xG0.52
68%Ball possession32%
23Shots4
10Shots on goal2
6Corner kicks0
1Yellow cards1
5Offside calls2
9Fouls made11
PSGReal · ModelMonaco
2.181.59xG0.521.21
68%56%Ball possession32%44%
2320Shots412
108Shots on goal27
68Corner kicks05
11Yellow cards12
52Offside calls21
98Fouls made1112

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PSGPer gameMonaco
1.2Goals for / game2.1
1.3Goals against / game1.3
66%Ball possession50%
14.8Shots per game13.8
5.7Corners per game4.4
1.15Expected goals1.67

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PSGRateMonaco
30%Wins70%
80%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

PSG WWWDD
W 20 Sept Marseille PSG 1 2 6.80 1.47
W 13 Sept Brest PSG 0 1 12.00 1.25
W 9 Sept PSG(Fra) Slovan(Svk) 6 1 1.05 55.00
D 28 Aug Lille PSG 2 2 4.85 1.80
D 23 Aug Rennes PSG 2 2 6.40 1.50
L 16 Aug Lens PSG 1 0 5.10 1.75
W 12 Aug PSG Aston Villa 2 1 1.67 5.60
D 8 Aug PSG Manchester Utd 1 1 3.25 2.17
L 5 Aug Mallorca PSG 3 0 3.15 2.10
D 30 May PSG Arsenal 1 1 2.57 3.10
Monaco WDWWW
W 18 Sept Monaco Lens 2 1 1.87 4.10
D 12 Sept Strasbourg Monaco 1 1 3.15 2.25
W 30 Aug Monaco Marseille 2 0 2.30 3.30
W 27 Aug Monaco(Fra) Gornik Zabrze(Pol) 4 1 1.36 9.00
W 23 Aug Le Havre Monaco 0 1 3.75 2.02
W 20 Aug Gornik Zabrze(Pol) Monaco(Fra) 2 3 3.90 2.02
L 14 Aug Coventry(Eng) Monaco(Fra) 2 0 2.27 2.87
W 9 Aug Liverpool Monaco 2 3 1.45 6.10
W 6 Aug Monaco Getafe 1 0 1.92 4.00
D 31 Jul Monaco Cercle B 2 2 1.62 4.80

Past meetings

PSG
3·1·2
Monaco
  • Mar 2026 PSG 1 - 3 Monaco
  • Feb 2026 PSG 2 - 2 Monaco
  • Feb 2026 Monaco 2 - 3 PSG
  • Nov 2025 Monaco 1 - 0 PSG
  • Feb 2025 PSG 4 - 1 Monaco
  • Jan 2025 PSG 1 - 0 Monaco

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Monaco 6 +5 14
2 Lyon 6 +8 12
3 Paris FC 6 +5 12
4 Lille 6 +4 11
5 Rennes 6 -1 11
6 PSG 6 +1 9
7 Angers 6 +1 8
8 Strasbourg 6 0 8
9 Le Mans 7 0 8
10 Toulouse 7 -2 7
11 Auxerre 6 -5 7
12 Brest 6 -1 6
13 Lorient 6 -1 6
14 Nice 6 -3 6
15 Lens 6 0 5
16 Troyes 6 -7 5
17 Marseille 6 -1 4
18 Le Havre 6 -3 3
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