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PSG vs Aston Villa prediction — UEFA Super Cup

UEFA Super Cup · World
PSG €1.21bn
Full time 2 : 1
Aston Villa €547.50m
1 1.67
X 4.50
2 5.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Paris Saint Germain win 1 Odds @1.67 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
PSG 78%@1.67
Draw 12%@4.50
Aston Villa 10%@5.60
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 68%@1.22
Under 1.5 32%@2.59
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.68
No 41%@2.17
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 63%@1.41
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PSGModelAston Villa
1.77xG1.38
55%Ball possession45%
18Shots12
8Shots on goal7
8Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
9Fouls made11
PSGRealAston Villa
1.04xG2.13
61%Ball possession39%
12Shots15
6Shots on goal4
0Corner kicks2
0Yellow cards3
2Offside calls0
11Fouls made13
PSGReal · ModelAston Villa
1.041.77xG2.131.38
61%55%Ball possession39%45%
1218Shots1512
68Shots on goal47
08Corner kicks25
02Yellow cards31
21Offside calls01
119Fouls made1311

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PSGPer gameAston Villa
1.7Goals for / game2.7
1.4Goals against / game1.4
60%Ball possession51%
14.5Shots per game14.5
6.2Corners per game5.5
1.36Expected goals1.64

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PSGRateAston Villa
40%Wins60%
90%Over 1.5100%
50%Over 2.5100%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

PSG WWWLD
W 20 Sept Marseille PSG 1 2 6.80 1.47
W 13 Sept Brest PSG 0 1 12.00 1.25
W 9 Sept PSG(Fra) Slovan(Svk) 6 1 1.05 55.00
L 4 Sept PSG Monaco 1 2 1.38 8.25
D 28 Aug Lille PSG 2 2 4.85 1.80
D 23 Aug Rennes PSG 2 2 6.40 1.50
L 16 Aug Lens PSG 1 0 5.10 1.75
D 8 Aug PSG Manchester Utd 1 1 3.25 2.17
L 5 Aug Mallorca PSG 3 0 3.15 2.10
D 30 May PSG Arsenal 1 1 2.57 3.10
Aston Villa WWWLW
W 2 Oct Sevilla(Esp) Aston Villa(Eng) 1 3 2.60 2.60
W 19 Sept Tottenham Aston Villa 2 3 1.92 4.20
W 16 Sept Coventry Aston Villa 1 3 3.40 2.17
L 12 Sept Aston Villa Nottingham 1 2 2.25 3.40
W 8 Sept Club Brugge KV(Bel) Aston Villa(Eng) 2 3 2.60 2.82
D 5 Sept Hull Aston Villa 0 0 4.35 1.95
L 31 Aug Aston Villa Arsenal 0 1 6.50 1.57
L 23 Aug Brighton Aston Villa 4 0 2.12 3.50
L 15 Aug Borussia M(Ger) Aston Villa(Eng) 2 1 2.40 2.80
L 7 Aug Bayern Munich Aston Villa 2 1 2.12 3.20

Past meetings

PSG
1·0·1
Aston Villa
  • Apr 2025 Aston Villa 3 - 2 PSG
  • Apr 2025 PSG 3 - 1 Aston Villa
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