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Progreso vs Nacional prediction — Copa Uruguay

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay
Progreso €5.78m
Full time 0 : 1
Nacional €19.58m
1 8.50
X 4.75
2 1.35

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
73%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.80 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Progreso 16%@8.50
Draw 29%@4.75
Nacional 55%@1.35
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 27%@4.87
Under 2.5 73%@1.80
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@2.42
No 56%@1.54
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 3.5 80%@1.51
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ProgresoModelNacional
45%Ball possession55%
6Shots9
3Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
0Offside calls1
0Fouls made11
ProgresoRealNacional
33%Ball possession67%
2Shots13
1Shots on goal6
2Corner kicks12
2Offside calls5
12Fouls made10
ProgresoReal · ModelNacional
33%45%Ball possession67%55%
26Shots139
13Shots on goal64
24Corner kicks126
20Offside calls51
120Fouls made1011

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ProgresoPer gameNacional
0.6Goals for / game1.3
1.3Goals against / game1.1
42%Ball possession57%
6.6Shots per game8.5
3.0Corners per game7.1

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ProgresoRateNacional
30%Wins50%
50%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.550%
30%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Progreso LWWLW
L 3 Oct Liverpool M. Progreso 3 2 1.68 5.40
W 26 Sept Progreso Racing M 2 1 4.00 2.00
W 19 Sept Boston River Progreso 1 2 1.95 3.85
L 13 Sept Progreso Cerro 1 3 2.55 3.20
W 7 Sept Albion Progreso 0 1 2.05 3.60
L 3 Sept Albion Progreso 2 1 2.02 4.00
W 29 Aug Progreso Danubio 1 0 3.00 2.43
L 26 Aug Progreso River Plate 0 2 2.45 2.85
L 23 Aug Nacional Progreso 1 0 1.45 6.60
L 16 Aug Progreso Maldonado 0 2 3.95 1.98
Nacional WWDDW
W 26 Sept Cerro Largo Nacional 0 2 4.75 1.72
W 20 Sept Nacional Defensor Sp. 3 2 1.71 4.65
D 12 Sept Wanderers Nacional 1 1 4.60 1.80
D 6 Sept Nacional Juventud 2 2 1.83 4.70
W 3 Sept River Plate Nacional 2 3 4.55 1.93
W 30 Aug Penarol Nacional 0 1 2.27 3.25
D 27 Aug Nacional Albion 0 0 2.06 3.55
W 23 Aug Nacional Progreso 1 0 1.45 6.60
L 15 Aug Racing M Nacional 2 0 3.75 2.33
L 9 Aug Nacional Boston River 1 2 1.47 6.80

Past meetings

Progreso
0·1·5
Nacional
  • Aug 2026 Nacional 1 - 0 Progreso
  • Aug 2026 Nacional 2 - 1 Progreso
  • Feb 2026 Progreso 0 - 1 Nacional
  • Jan 2026 Nacional 1 - 1 Progreso
  • Aug 2025 Nacional 3 - 1 Progreso
  • May 2025 Nacional 1 - 0 Progreso

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Maldonado 4 +6 10
2 Boston River 4 +4 10
3 Central Esp. 4 +5 8
4 Nacional 4 +2 8
5 Cerrito 4 +2 7
6 Juventud 4 +1 7
7 Plaza Colonia 4 +1 7
8 Liverpool M. 3 +4 6
9 Penarol 4 +1 6
10 Albion 4 +1 6
11 Torque 4 +1 5
12 River Plate 4 +1 5
13 Rentistas 4 0 5
14 Danubio 4 -1 5
15 Cerro Largo 3 0 4
16 Racing M 3 -4 3
17 Atenas 3 -1 2
18 Defensor Sp. 3 -1 2
19 Wanderers 4 -5 2
20 Oriental 3 -2 1
21 Fenix 3 -3 1
22 Cerro 3 -3 1
23 Colon 3 -5 1
24 Progreso 3 -4 0
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