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Portugal vs Wales prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 1.19
X 8.50
2 18.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
86%Chance
Portugal win 1 Odds @1.19 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Portugal 86%@1.19
Draw 10%@8.50
Wales 4%@18.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 29%@4.95
Under 3.5 71%@2.02
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 26%@2.12
No 74%@1.92
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 81%@1.58
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PortugalModelWales
1.77xG1.25
49%Ball possession51%
17Shots13
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
10Fouls made11
PortugalRealWales
2.36xG0.85
61%Ball possession39%
23Shots5
5Shots on goal1
10Corner kicks2
0Yellow cards1
3Offside calls3
12Fouls made10
PortugalReal · ModelWales
2.361.77xG0.851.25
61%49%Ball possession39%51%
2317Shots513
55Shots on goal14
106Corner kicks25
02Yellow cards12
32Offside calls31
1210Fouls made1011

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PortugalPer gameWales
2.3Goals for / game1.5
0.6Goals against / game1.4
62%Ball possession63%
14.8Shots per game14.4
5.3Corners per game6.4
1.70Expected goals1.40

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PortugalRateWales
60%Wins30%
70%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Portugal WWWLW
W 4 Oct Portugal Norway 2 1 1.74 4.55
W 1 Oct Denmark Portugal 2 4 4.00 2.00
W 27 Sept Norway Portugal 1 2 2.42 2.95
L 6 Jul Portugal Spain 0 1 4.25 2.02
W 3 Jul Portugal Croatia 2 1 1.77 5.65
D 28 Jun Colombia Portugal 0 0 4.15 1.91
W 23 Jun Portugal Uzbekistan 5 0 1.18 23.00
D 17 Jun Portugal Congo DR 1 1 1.33 12.50
W 10 Jun Portugal Nigeria 2 1 1.41 9.00
W 6 Jun Portugal Chile 2 1 1.23 14.50
Wales LWLLD
L 4 Oct Wales Denmark 0 1 3.80 2.15
W 1 Oct Wales Norway 2 1 7.70 1.47
L 27 Sept Denmark Wales 2 0 1.44 7.60
L 6 Jun Romania Wales 2 1 2.54 3.20
D 2 Jun Wales Ghana 1 1 2.10 4.40
D 31 Mar Wales N. Ireland 1 1 1.78 4.75
D 26 Mar Wales Bosnia H 1 1 1.80 5.60
W 18 Nov Wales Macedonia 7 1 1.63 6.50
W 15 Nov Liechtenstein Wales 0 1 41.00 1.02
L 13 Oct Wales Belgium 2 4 4.50 1.75

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.