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Portugal vs Spain prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
Portugal €810.00m
Full time 0 : 1
Spain €989.00m
1 4.25
X 3.65
2 2.02

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.30 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Portugal 13%@4.25
Draw 16%@3.65
Spain 71%@2.02
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.68
Under 3.5 72%@1.43
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 41%@1.68
No 59%@2.18
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 72%@1.57
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PortugalModelSpain
1.37xG2.14
48%Ball possession52%
13Shots18
6Shots on goal8
5Corner kicks8
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
9Fouls made10
PortugalRealSpain
0.56xG1.77
44%Ball possession56%
10Shots15
2Shots on goal6
3Corner kicks7
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
9Fouls made13
PortugalReal · ModelSpain
0.561.37xG1.772.14
44%48%Ball possession56%52%
1013Shots1518
26Shots on goal68
35Corner kicks78
21Yellow cards11
22Offside calls12
99Fouls made1310

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PortugalPer gameSpain
2.3Goals for / game2.1
0.7Goals against / game0.4
65%Ball possession67%
16.5Shots per game17.3
5.9Corners per game7.1
1.83Expected goals2.19

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PortugalRateSpain
60%Wins60%
80%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.560%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Portugal WWWWW
W 4 Oct Portugal Norway 2 1 1.74 4.55
W 1 Oct Denmark Portugal 2 4 4.00 2.00
W 27 Sept Norway Portugal 1 2 2.42 2.95
W 24 Sept Portugal Wales 1 0 1.19 18.00
W 3 Jul Portugal Croatia 2 1 1.77 5.65
D 28 Jun Colombia Portugal 0 0 4.15 1.91
W 23 Jun Portugal Uzbekistan 5 0 1.18 23.00
D 17 Jun Portugal Congo DR 1 1 1.33 12.50
W 10 Jun Portugal Nigeria 2 1 1.41 9.00
W 6 Jun Portugal Chile 2 1 1.23 14.50
Spain WWWWW
W 3 Oct Spain Czechia 3 1 1.09 31.00
W 29 Sept Spain Croatia 4 1 1.28 12.00
W 26 Sept England Spain 2 3 3.45 2.27
W 19 Jul Spain Argentina 1 0 2.47 3.75
W 14 Jul France Spain 0 2 2.67 3.20
W 10 Jul Spain Belgium 2 1 1.72 5.70
W 2 Jul Spain Austria 3 0 1.35 11.25
W 27 Jun Uruguay Spain 0 1 6.20 1.75
W 21 Jun Spain Saudi Arabia 4 0 1.14 30.00
D 15 Jun Spain Cape Verde 0 0 1.12 35.00

Past meetings

Portugal
0·1·0
Spain
  • Jun 2025 Portugal 2 - 2 Spain
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