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Portugal vs Norway prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 1.74
X 4.60
2 4.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
74%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.23 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Portugal 58%@1.74
Draw 21%@4.60
Norway 21%@4.55
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 30%@4.83
Under 3.5 70%@2.07
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.41
No 45%@3.10
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 67%@1.49
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PortugalModelNorway
1.60xG1.31
50%Ball possession50%
18Shots11
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made10
PortugalRealNorway
1.79xG0.45
59%Ball possession41%
20Shots9
7Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks4
4Yellow cards0
2Offside calls2
8Fouls made7
PortugalReal · ModelNorway
1.791.60xG0.451.31
59%50%Ball possession41%50%
2018Shots911
75Shots on goal34
66Corner kicks44
42Yellow cards02
22Offside calls21
811Fouls made710

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PortugalPer gameNorway
1.9Goals for / game1.9
0.8Goals against / game1.8
56%Ball possession53%
14.7Shots per game12.2
5.3Corners per game5.4
1.45Expected goals1.61

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PortugalRateNorway
70%Wins50%
70%Over 1.5100%
60%Over 2.590%
60%BTTS100%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Portugal WWWLW
W 1 Oct Denmark Portugal 2 4 4.00 2.00
W 27 Sept Norway Portugal 1 2 2.42 2.95
W 24 Sept Portugal Wales 1 0 1.19 18.00
L 6 Jul Portugal Spain 0 1 4.25 2.02
W 3 Jul Portugal Croatia 2 1 1.77 5.65
D 28 Jun Colombia Portugal 0 0 4.15 1.91
W 23 Jun Portugal Uzbekistan 5 0 1.18 23.00
D 17 Jun Portugal Congo DR 1 1 1.33 12.50
W 10 Jun Portugal Nigeria 2 1 1.41 9.00
W 6 Jun Portugal Chile 2 1 1.23 14.50
Norway LLWLW
L 1 Oct Wales Norway 2 1 7.70 1.47
L 27 Sept Norway Portugal 1 2 2.42 2.95
W 24 Sept Norway Denmark 3 2 1.70 5.25
L 11 Jul Norway England 1 2 4.30 1.93
W 5 Jul Brazil Norway 1 2 1.83 4.90
W 30 Jun Ivory Coast Norway 1 2 3.65 2.20
L 26 Jun Norway France 1 4 7.40 1.45
W 23 Jun Norway Senegal 3 2 2.42 3.20
W 16 Jun Iraq Norway 1 4 14.00 1.28
D 7 Jun Morocco Norway 1 1 3.05 2.57

Past meetings

Portugal
1·0·0
Norway
  • Sept 2026 Norway 1 - 2 Portugal