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Portugal vs Croatia prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
1 1.77
X 3.85
2 5.65

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
82%Chance
Portugal win 1 Odds @1.77 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Portugal 82%@1.77
Draw 11%@3.85
Croatia 7%@5.65
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 78%@1.26
Under 1.5 22%@4.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.74
No 45%@2.18
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 73%@1.47
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PortugalModelCroatia
1.74xG1.13
52%Ball possession48%
17Shots10
8Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
9Fouls made11
PortugalRealCroatia
2.18xG1.32
60%Ball possession40%
15Shots13
3Shots on goal6
9Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls4
6Fouls made12
PortugalReal · ModelCroatia
2.181.74xG1.321.13
60%52%Ball possession40%48%
1517Shots1310
38Shots on goal64
95Corner kicks54
11Yellow cards22
13Offside calls42
69Fouls made1211

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PortugalPer gameCroatia
2.3Goals for / game1.9
0.8Goals against / game1.5
65%Ball possession61%
17.0Shots per game13.9
5.5Corners per game5.6
1.88Expected goals1.66

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PortugalRateCroatia
50%Wins70%
80%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.580%
50%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Portugal WWWWL
W 4 Oct Portugal Norway 2 1 1.74 4.55
W 1 Oct Denmark Portugal 2 4 4.00 2.00
W 27 Sept Norway Portugal 1 2 2.42 2.95
W 24 Sept Portugal Wales 1 0 1.19 18.00
L 6 Jul Portugal Spain 0 1 4.25 2.02
D 28 Jun Colombia Portugal 0 0 4.15 1.91
W 23 Jun Portugal Uzbekistan 5 0 1.18 23.00
D 17 Jun Portugal Congo DR 1 1 1.33 12.50
W 10 Jun Portugal Nigeria 2 1 1.41 9.00
W 6 Jun Portugal Chile 2 1 1.23 14.50
Croatia LLWWW
L 3 Oct Croatia England 0 7 5.00 1.78
L 29 Sept Spain Croatia 4 1 1.28 12.00
W 26 Sept Czechia Croatia 1 2 3.90 2.05
W 27 Jun Croatia Ghana 2 1 1.90 5.70
W 24 Jun Panama Croatia 0 1 8.50 1.50
L 17 Jun England Croatia 4 2 1.77 5.40
W 7 Jun Croatia Slovenia 2 1 1.44 9.60
L 2 Jun Croatia Belgium 0 2 2.77 2.70
L 1 Apr Brazil Croatia 3 1 1.82 4.35
W 26 Mar Colombia Croatia 1 2 2.20 3.55

Past meetings

Portugal
1·1·0
Croatia
  • Nov 2024 Croatia 1 - 1 Portugal
  • Sept 2024 Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia