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Portsmouth vs Derby prediction — Championship

Championship · England
Portsmouth €35.58m
Full time 0 : 2
Derby €58.20m
1 2.10
X 3.40
2 3.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
84%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.31 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Portsmouth 60%@2.10
Draw 21%@3.40
Derby 19%@3.95
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 80%@1.35
Under 1.5 20%@5.40
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.82
No 41%@1.96
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 62%@1.72
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PortsmouthModelDerby
1.24xG0.92
50%Ball possession50%
13Shots11
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards3
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made14
PortsmouthRealDerby
0.82xG0.54
65%Ball possession35%
21Shots8
2Shots on goal5
11Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards2
0Offside calls3
12Fouls made15
PortsmouthReal · ModelDerby
0.821.24xG0.540.92
65%50%Ball possession35%50%
2113Shots811
25Shots on goal55
115Corner kicks24
11Yellow cards23
01Offside calls32
1212Fouls made1514

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PortsmouthPer gameDerby
1.1Goals for / game1.2
1.7Goals against / game1.7

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PortsmouthRateDerby
20%Wins20%
90%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.570%
80%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Portsmouth DDWLW
D 19 Sept Portsmouth Blackburn 2 2 2.22 3.40
D 12 Sept Charlton Portsmouth 0 0 2.75 2.75
W 5 Sept Portsmouth Cardiff 2 0 2.42 2.95
L 29 Aug Bristol City Portsmouth 2 1 2.18 3.35
W 22 Aug Lincoln Portsmouth 1 3 2.37 3.10
L 15 Aug Portsmouth QPR 1 3 2.45 3.10
L 8 Aug West Ham Portsmouth 3 1 1.40 7.80
D 1 Aug Darmstadt Portsmouth 0 0 – –
D 29 Jul Farnborough Portsmouth 1 1 3.40 2.30
L 25 Jul Wycombe Portsmouth 3 1 2.94 2.26
Derby DLLLL
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
L 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 9 Sept Derby West Brom 0 1 3.40 2.20
L 5 Sept West Ham Derby 3 0 1.39 8.50
L 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
D 22 Aug Derby Cardiff 2 2 2.15 3.80
L 15 Aug Charlton Derby 2 1 2.75 2.72
L 8 Aug Derby Lincoln 1 2 2.02 3.40
D 4 Aug Rotherham Derby 1 1 3.90 1.83
L 1 Aug Burton Derby 1 0 3.95 1.86

Past meetings

Portsmouth
0·3·2
Derby
  • Mar 2026 Portsmouth 0 - 1 Derby
  • Dec 2025 Derby 1 - 1 Portsmouth
  • Apr 2025 Portsmouth 2 - 2 Derby
  • Dec 2024 Derby 4 - 0 Portsmouth
  • Apr 2024 Portsmouth 2 - 2 Derby

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day