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Ponferradina vs Merida AD prediction — Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Ponferradina €4.55m
Full time 1 : 0
Merida AD €6.68m
1 2.12
X 3.30
2 3.85

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
82%Chance
One side or both fail to score No BTTS Odds @1.86 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Ponferradina 58%@2.12
Draw 23%@3.30
Merida AD 19%@3.85
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 24%@5.48
Under 2.5 76%@1.73
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 24%@1.90
No 76%@1.86
Bet Builder
1X & Under 3.5 83%@1.77
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PonferradinaModelMerida AD
54%Ball possession46%
8Shots8
3Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
3Offside calls2
14Fouls made14
PonferradinaRealMerida AD
33%Ball possession67%
8Shots17
2Shots on goal6
1Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
5Offside calls0
16Fouls made13
PonferradinaReal · ModelMerida AD
33%54%Ball possession67%46%
88Shots178
23Shots on goal64
14Corner kicks64
22Yellow cards13
53Offside calls02
1614Fouls made1314

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PonferradinaPer gameMerida AD
1.0Goals for / game0.9
1.3Goals against / game1.9
42%Ball possession34%
6.7Shots per game8.6
3.0Corners per game3.6

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PonferradinaRateMerida AD
30%Wins30%
60%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Ponferradina WDLDW
W 4 Oct Ponferradina Mirandes 1 0 2.60 2.75
D 27 Sept Pontevedra Ponferradina 1 1 2.10 3.65
L 13 Sept Deportivo II Ponferradina 2 1 3.00 2.67
D 4 Sept Ponferradina Lugo 0 0 2.00 4.15
W 29 Aug UD Ourense Ponferradina 0 1 3.15 2.38
D 19 Aug Ponferradina(Esp) Real Madrid B(Esp) 2 2 2.32 3.00
W 8 Aug Marino L Ponferradina 0 3 4.00 1.90
D 1 Aug Ponferradina Real Aviles 1 1 2.02 3.30
L 29 Jul R. Oviedo Ponferradina 4 0 1.73 4.75
L 20 Jun Celta Vigo B Ponferradina 4 1 2.23 3.80
Merida AD WLLLW
W 4 Oct Merida AD Cacereno 2 0 2.15 3.35
L 27 Sept Merida AD UD Logrones 3 5 2.67 2.52
L 12 Sept Merida AD Mirandes 3 4 3.30 2.25
L 6 Sept Cultural Merida AD 1 0 1.95 4.05
W 29 Aug Merida AD Deportivo II 1 0 2.16 3.40
W 14 Aug Merida AD(Esp) Alcorcon(Esp) 2 1 2.42 2.70
L 7 Aug Leganes Merida AD 3 0 1.85 4.50
L 28 Jul Merida AD Al-Nassr 0 2 – –
L 25 Jul Benfica B Merida AD 4 0 – –
W 23 May Osasuna B Merida AD 1 2 1.82 4.30

Past meetings

Ponferradina
1·1·0
Merida AD
  • Apr 2026 Ponferradina 4 - 1 Merida AD
  • Oct 2025 Merida AD 0 - 0 Ponferradina
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