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Ponferradina vs Lugo prediction — Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Ponferradina €4.55m
Full time 0 : 0
Lugo €5.10m
1 2.00
X 3.05
2 4.15

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
74%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.50 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Ponferradina 34%@2.00
Draw 23%@3.05
Lugo 43%@4.15
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 26%@4.27
Under 2.5 74%@1.50
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 39%@2.20
No 61%@1.65
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 3.5 56%@2.37
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PonferradinaModelLugo
49%Ball possession51%
7Shots8
3Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks3
4Yellow cards3
2Offside calls0
19Fouls made0
PonferradinaRealLugo
55%Ball possession45%
8Shots11
1Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards1
3Offside calls1
17Fouls made5
PonferradinaReal · ModelLugo
55%49%Ball possession45%51%
87Shots118
13Shots on goal54
54Corner kicks53
14Yellow cards13
32Offside calls10
1719Fouls made50

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PonferradinaPer gameLugo
1.0Goals for / game1.1
1.1Goals against / game1.0
43%Ball possession46%
6.3Shots per game8.3
2.8Corners per game2.7

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PonferradinaRateLugo
40%Wins50%
50%Over 1.560%
40%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Ponferradina WDWLW
W 4 Oct Ponferradina Mirandes 1 0 2.60 2.75
D 27 Sept Pontevedra Ponferradina 1 1 2.10 3.65
W 19 Sept Ponferradina Merida AD 1 0 2.12 3.85
L 13 Sept Deportivo II Ponferradina 2 1 3.00 2.67
W 29 Aug UD Ourense Ponferradina 0 1 3.15 2.38
D 19 Aug Ponferradina(Esp) Real Madrid B(Esp) 2 2 2.32 3.00
W 8 Aug Marino L Ponferradina 0 3 4.00 1.90
D 1 Aug Ponferradina Real Aviles 1 1 2.02 3.30
L 29 Jul R. Oviedo Ponferradina 4 0 1.73 4.75
L 20 Jun Celta Vigo B Ponferradina 4 1 2.23 3.80
Lugo WWWWW
W 2 Oct Real Aviles Lugo 1 2 2.32 3.00
W 26 Sept Lugo Racing F 1 0 2.30 3.15
W 20 Sept Zamora Lugo 1 2 2.10 3.45
W 13 Sept Lugo CD Coria 1 0 1.87 4.15
W 30 Aug Unionistas Lugo 1 3 1.95 3.65
W 21 Aug Lugo(Esp) Ourense CF(Esp) 1 0 1.94 3.85
W 15 Aug Lugo(Esp) Coruxo(Esp) 2 1 – –
L 29 Jul Dep. A Coruna Lugo 1 0 1.25 10.25
D 23 May Lugo Arenteiro 0 0 1.80 5.50
W 17 May Celta Vigo B Lugo 0 1 1.76 4.50

Past meetings

Ponferradina
1·1·1
Lugo
  • Feb 2026 Lugo 0 - 2 Ponferradina
  • Nov 2025 Ponferradina 1 - 1 Lugo
  • Mar 2025 Ponferradina 0 - 1 Lugo
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