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Perugia vs Spezia prediction — Serie C - Girone B

1 2.80
X 3.10
2 2.82

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.50 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Perugia 23%@2.80
Draw 21%@3.10
Spezia 56%@2.82
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 37%@2.93
Under 2.5 63%@1.72
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@1.82
No 55%@2.02
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 63%@1.70
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PerugiaModelSpezia
45%Ball possession55%
11Shots10
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
11Fouls made14
PerugiaRealSpezia
41%Ball possession59%
7Shots14
2Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks5
4Yellow cards2
4Offside calls3
20Fouls made13
PerugiaReal · ModelSpezia
41%45%Ball possession59%55%
711Shots1410
25Shots on goal54
46Corner kicks55
42Yellow cards22
43Offside calls32
2011Fouls made1314

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PerugiaPer gameSpezia
1.2Goals for / game1.9
1.4Goals against / game1.1
50%Ball possession55%
11.1Shots per game10.0
6.4Corners per game5.2

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PerugiaRateSpezia
30%Wins50%
70%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Perugia WWLLW
W 3 Oct Gubbio Perugia 1 3 3.10 2.25
W 27 Sept Perugia Reggiana 1 0 3.20 2.17
L 20 Sept Grosseto Perugia 2 0 2.80 2.55
L 13 Sept Ravenna Perugia 3 0 2.05 3.45
W 6 Sept Perugia Pineto 2 1 1.80 4.45
D 30 Aug Vis Pesaro Perugia 2 2 2.65 2.65
W 23 Aug Perugia Ostia Mare 1 0 1.87 4.00
L 15 Aug Perugia Vis Pesaro 1 2 2.10 3.85
D 26 Apr Forli Perugia 1 1 3.80 2.20
L 18 Apr Perugia Campobasso 0 1 2.17 3.40
Spezia WWWWW
W 4 Oct Reggiana Spezia 0 1 3.15 2.27
W 27 Sept Pescara Spezia 1 2 2.70 2.37
W 21 Sept Spezia Vis Pesaro 3 1 1.18 13.50
W 12 Sept Spezia Livorno 2 0 1.80 4.60
W 6 Sept Sambenedettese Spezia 1 2 3.80 1.98
W 2 Sept Spezia Vado 3 0 1.50 6.30
W 29 Aug Spezia Campobasso 1 0 2.05 3.60
D 23 Aug Grosseto Spezia 1 1 3.95 1.90
W 16 Aug Spezia Torres 4 1 1.42 7.50
D 1 Aug Empoli Spezia 1 1 2.15 3.10

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Spezia 9 +11 23
2 Ravenna 9 +9 18
3 Grosseto 10 +7 17
4 Livorno 10 +2 17
5 Reggiana 9 +5 15
6 Perugia 9 -3 14
7 Guidonia 9 +3 13
8 Campobasso 9 +1 13
9 Torres 9 0 13
10 Atalanta II 9 -2 12
11 Forli 9 +1 11
12 Pescara 9 -2 10
13 Ostia Mare 9 -1 9
14 Vado 9 -2 9
15 Latina 9 -3 8
16 Pineto 9 -5 8
17 Gubbio 9 -6 8
18 Pianese 9 -4 7
19 Sambenedettese 9 -3 6
20 Vis Pesaro 9 -8 6