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Paris FC vs Lyon prediction — Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · France
1 2.55
X 3.70
2 2.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.52 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Paris FC 63%@2.55
Draw 16%@3.70
Lyon 21%@2.75
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 74%@1.63
Under 2.5 26%@4.64
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.53
No 41%@2.60
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 72%@1.77
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Paris FCModelLyon
2.12xG1.45
46%Ball possession54%
13Shots14
6Shots on goal7
3Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
10Fouls made12
Paris FCRealLyon
0.38xG0.45
56%Ball possession44%
6Shots5
4Shots on goal0
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
19Fouls made13
Paris FCReal · ModelLyon
0.382.12xG0.451.45
56%46%Ball possession44%54%
613Shots514
46Shots on goal07
43Corner kicks36
21Yellow cards11
22Offside calls12
1910Fouls made1312

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Paris FCPer gameLyon
1.5Goals for / game1.4
1.6Goals against / game1.3
46%Ball possession55%
14.2Shots per game15.1
2.4Corners per game5.7
2.21Expected goals1.59

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Paris FCRateLyon
40%Wins40%
80%Over 1.5100%
80%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Paris FC WWWDL
W 19 Sept Paris FC Strasbourg 2 1 1.85 4.05
W 6 Sept Marseille Paris FC 2 3 1.97 4.00
W 30 Aug Paris FC Nice 3 0 2.05 3.90
D 22 Aug Troyes Paris FC 0 0 3.30 2.20
L 15 Aug Angers(Fra) Paris FC(Fra) 3 2 2.92 2.27
D 12 Aug Paris FC Auxerre 0 0 – –
L 8 Aug Mainz (Ger) Paris FC 4 0 1.85 3.60
L 1 Aug Stuttgart Paris FC 2 1 1.78 3.85
W 18 Jul Paris FC Reims 1 0 – –
W 17 May Paris FC PSG 2 1 5.80 1.60
Lyon WWWDL
W 19 Sept Lyon Rennes 4 0 2.17 3.25
W 16 Sept Anderlecht(Bel) Lyon(Fra) 1 2 3.05 2.40
W 4 Sept Lyon Auxerre 3 1 1.44 7.50
D 29 Aug Lyon Le Havre 1 1 1.47 7.40
L 26 Aug Lyon(Fra) Fenerbahce(Tur) 1 2 2.00 4.00
W 22 Aug Toulouse Lyon 0 2 2.35 3.20
D 18 Aug Fenerbahce(Tur) Lyon(Fra) 1 1 2.15 3.60
W 11 Aug Lyon Sparta Praha 3 0 1.38 8.30
L 4 Aug Sparta Praha Lyon 2 1 3.50 2.20
L 29 Jul Betis Lyon 4 0 2.47 2.75

Past meetings

Paris FC
0·2·0
Lyon
  • Mar 2026 Lyon 1 - 1 Paris FC
  • Oct 2025 Paris FC 3 - 3 Lyon

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Monaco 6 +5 14
2 Lyon 6 +8 12
3 Paris FC 6 +5 12
4 Lille 6 +4 11
5 Rennes 6 -1 11
6 PSG 6 +1 9
7 Angers 6 +1 8
8 Strasbourg 6 0 8
9 Le Mans 7 0 8
10 Toulouse 7 -2 7
11 Auxerre 6 -5 7
12 Brest 6 -1 6
13 Lorient 6 -1 6
14 Nice 6 -3 6
15 Lens 6 0 5
16 Troyes 6 -7 5
17 Marseille 6 -1 4
18 Le Havre 6 -3 3