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Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras €209.48m
Full time 2 : 0
Sao Paulo €81.30m
1 1.52
X 4.35
2 7.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
74%Chance
Palmeiras win 1 Odds @1.52 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Palmeiras 74%@1.52
Draw 17%@4.35
Sao Paulo 9%@7.70
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 27%@3.51
Under 3.5 73%@1.30
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@2.25
No 42%@1.65
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 83%@1.28
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PalmeirasModelSao Paulo
1.90xG0.98
50%Ball possession50%
17Shots13
7Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made13
PalmeirasRealSao Paulo
2.42xG1.29
57%Ball possession43%
19Shots8
7Shots on goal2
9Corner kicks6
4Yellow cards1
3Offside calls0
21Fouls made12
PalmeirasReal · ModelSao Paulo
2.421.90xG1.290.98
57%50%Ball possession43%50%
1917Shots813
77Shots on goal25
96Corner kicks65
42Yellow cards12
31Offside calls01
2112Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PalmeirasPer gameSao Paulo
1.4Goals for / game1.2
0.9Goals against / game1.1
52%Ball possession54%
15.8Shots per game15.1
5.4Corners per game6.0
1.57Expected goals1.12

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PalmeirasRateSao Paulo
30%Wins30%
60%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Palmeiras DLWDD
D 20 Sept Gremio Palmeiras 0 0 4.20 1.98
L 16 Sept LDU Quito(Ecu) Palmeiras(Bra) 3 2 2.65 3.10
W 9 Sept Palmeiras(Bra) LDU Quito(Ecu) 1 0 1.42 11.25
D 6 Sept Botafogo Palmeiras 0 0 3.40 2.15
D 3 Sept Santos Palmeiras 0 0 2.55 2.85
D 30 Aug Mirassol Palmeiras 1 1 3.55 2.18
W 27 Aug Palmeiras Santos 3 0 1.53 7.90
W 23 Aug Palmeiras Vasco 4 1 1.67 5.70
W 19 Aug Cerro Porteno(Par) Palmeiras(Bra) 0 1 4.90 1.91
L 15 Aug Fluminense Palmeiras 3 2 3.00 2.55
Sao Paulo LWDLW
L 3 Oct Sao Paulo Santos 1 2 2.12 3.75
W 20 Sept Sao Paulo Internacional 1 0 2.02 4.55
D 16 Sept Sao Paulo(Bra) Boca Juniors(Arg) 1 1 2.47 3.55
L 9 Sept Boca Juniors(Arg) Sao Paulo(Bra) 1 0 1.95 5.15
W 5 Sept Sao Paulo Atletico-MG 2 0 2.00 4.15
W 30 Aug Sao Paulo Bragantino 2 1 2.47 3.05
L 23 Aug Chapecoense-sc Sao Paulo 1 0 4.10 2.05
W 19 Aug Sao Paulo(Bra) Bolivar(Bol) 3 1 1.47 8.25
D 16 Aug Sao Paulo Coritiba 1 1 1.78 5.50
D 12 Aug Bolivar Sao Paulo 1 1 1.83 4.50

Past meetings

Palmeiras
6·0·0
Sao Paulo
  • Mar 2026 Sao Paulo 0 - 1 Palmeiras
  • Mar 2026 Palmeiras 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
  • Jan 2026 Palmeiras 3 - 1 Sao Paulo
  • Oct 2025 Sao Paulo 2 - 3 Palmeiras
  • May 2025 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
  • Mar 2025 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Sao Paulo

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17
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