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Okayama vs Sanfrecce prediction — J1 League

J1 League · Japan
Okayama €12.48m
Full time 3 : 2
Sanfrecce €20.05m
1 3.90
X 3.50
2 1.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
84%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.36 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Okayama 21%@3.90
Draw 24%@3.50
Sanfrecce 55%@1.95
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 22%@4.82
Under 3.5 78%@1.36
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 34%@1.77
No 66%@2.07
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 65%@1.37
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

OkayamaModelSanfrecce
1.08xG1.91
49%Ball possession51%
15Shots19
5Shots on goal10
6Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made9
OkayamaRealSanfrecce
1.88xG1.85
23%Ball possession77%
10Shots20
5Shots on goal7
2Corner kicks8
3Yellow cards0
2Offside calls4
14Fouls made8
OkayamaReal · ModelSanfrecce
1.881.08xG1.851.91
23%49%Ball possession77%51%
1015Shots2019
55Shots on goal710
26Corner kicks86
31Yellow cards01
22Offside calls42
1412Fouls made89

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

OkayamaPer gameSanfrecce
1.2Goals for / game2.4
1.4Goals against / game0.7
51%Ball possession52%
17.2Shots per game17.4
7.3Corners per game5.4
1.09Expected goals1.76

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

OkayamaRateSanfrecce
40%Wins80%
80%Over 1.570%
70%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Okayama WLWWL
W 29 Sept Consadole Okayama 1 2 7.00 1.50
L 19 Sept Okayama Kyoto 1 2 1.82 4.35
W 13 Sept Urawa Okayama 1 2 2.52 2.87
W 2 Sept Chiba Okayama 1 2 4.00 1.95
L 29 Aug Nagoya Grampus Okayama 2 1 2.75 2.60
W 26 Aug Okayama Beluga R 3 0 1.05 37.00
D 22 Aug Okayama Verdy 0 0 1.88 5.00
W 15 Aug Okayama Nagasaki 1 0 1.77 5.00
L 8 Aug Cerezo Osaka Okayama 2 1 2.12 3.60
L 25 Jul Schalke Okayama 3 1 1.55 5.40
Sanfrecce WWWWD
W 29 Sept Tochigi City Sanfrecce 0 2 15.00 1.14
W 19 Sept Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce 0 1 4.65 1.78
W 12 Sept Sanfrecce Cerezo Osaka 6 1 1.67 4.90
W 2 Sept Sanfrecce Nagoya Grampus 3 0 1.55 5.50
D 29 Aug Gamba Osaka Sanfrecce 0 0 4.60 1.68
W 26 Aug Sanfrecce Okinawa SV 4 1 1.17 14.50
W 22 Aug Sanfrecce Kawasaki 1 0 1.53 5.80
W 15 Aug Urawa Sanfrecce 1 4 3.70 1.99
W 8 Aug Sanfrecce Chiba 3 0 1.43 7.50
W 28 Jul Sanfrecce Verspah Oita 4 0 – –

Past meetings

Okayama
2·1·1
Sanfrecce
  • May 2026 Okayama 1 - 0 Sanfrecce
  • Feb 2026 Sanfrecce 1 - 1 Okayama
  • Jul 2025 Okayama 0 - 1 Sanfrecce
  • Apr 2025 Sanfrecce 0 - 1 Okayama

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce 9 +15 20
2 Vissel Kobe 9 +7 20
3 Kashiwa Reysol 9 +4 19
4 Machida 9 +11 18
5 FC Tokyo 9 +6 18
6 Yokohama 9 +4 15
7 Kashima 9 +1 14
8 Okayama 9 +1 14
9 Kawasaki 9 +3 13
10 Urawa 9 -2 13
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 -1 12
12 Mito 9 0 10
13 Cerezo Osaka 9 -6 10
14 Kyoto 9 -4 9
15 Nagasaki 9 -4 9
16 Gamba Osaka 9 -6 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 9 -7 7
18 Avispa Fukuoka 9 -3 5
19 Verdy 9 -8 5
20 Chiba 9 -11 5
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