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Okayama vs Nagasaki prediction — J1 League

J1 League · Japan
1 1.77
X 3.65
2 5.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.19 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Okayama 62%@1.77
Draw 22%@3.65
Nagasaki 16%@5.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@3.67
Under 3.5 74%@1.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.98
No 42%@1.76
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 71%@1.35
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

OkayamaModelNagasaki
1.52xG1.24
50%Ball possession50%
15Shots11
6Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards1
3Offside calls1
12Fouls made10
OkayamaRealNagasaki
1.36xG0.33
43%Ball possession57%
22Shots3
3Shots on goal0
5Corner kicks1
0Yellow cards1
2Offside calls4
12Fouls made10
OkayamaReal · ModelNagasaki
1.361.52xG0.331.24
43%50%Ball possession57%50%
2215Shots311
36Shots on goal04
56Corner kicks14
01Yellow cards11
23Offside calls41
1212Fouls made1010

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

OkayamaPer gameNagasaki
1.2Goals for / game1.4
1.7Goals against / game1.3
43%Ball possession42%
16.2Shots per game11.4
6.2Corners per game4.1
1.77Expected goals1.30

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

OkayamaRateNagasaki
30%Wins50%
100%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Okayama WLWWW
W 29 Sept Consadole Okayama 1 2 7.00 1.50
L 19 Sept Okayama Kyoto 1 2 1.82 4.35
W 13 Sept Urawa Okayama 1 2 2.52 2.87
W 6 Sept Okayama Sanfrecce 3 2 3.90 1.95
W 2 Sept Chiba Okayama 1 2 4.00 1.95
L 29 Aug Nagoya Grampus Okayama 2 1 2.75 2.60
W 26 Aug Okayama Beluga R 3 0 1.05 37.00
D 22 Aug Okayama Verdy 0 0 1.88 5.00
L 8 Aug Cerezo Osaka Okayama 2 1 2.12 3.60
L 25 Jul Schalke Okayama 3 1 1.55 5.40
Nagasaki LDWWL
L 29 Sept Gainare Tottori Nagasaki 2 0 10.00 1.32
D 19 Sept Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka 1 1 3.00 2.30
W 12 Sept Nagasaki Nagoya Grampus 2 0 3.60 1.95
W 9 Sept Kochi United Nagasaki 0 1 4.70 1.65
L 6 Sept Vissel Kobe Nagasaki 3 1 1.62 5.50
D 2 Sept Nagasaki Gamba Osaka 2 2 3.10 2.47
L 29 Aug Nagasaki FC Tokyo 0 3 5.70 1.60
W 26 Aug Nagasaki Ehime 3 2 1.29 8.50
L 21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol Nagasaki 1 0 1.45 7.60
W 9 Aug Nagasaki Kyoto 2 1 3.40 2.30

Past meetings

Okayama
1·1·2
Nagasaki
  • May 2026 Nagasaki 2 - 1 Okayama
  • Mar 2026 Okayama 0 - 1 Nagasaki
  • Sept 2024 Okayama 1 - 0 Nagasaki
  • May 2024 Nagasaki 0 - 0 Okayama

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce 9 +15 20
2 Vissel Kobe 9 +7 20
3 Kashiwa Reysol 9 +4 19
4 Machida 9 +11 18
5 FC Tokyo 9 +6 18
6 Yokohama 9 +4 15
7 Kashima 9 +1 14
8 Okayama 9 +1 14
9 Kawasaki 9 +3 13
10 Urawa 9 -2 13
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 -1 12
12 Mito 9 0 10
13 Cerezo Osaka 9 -6 10
14 Kyoto 9 -4 9
15 Nagasaki 9 -4 9
16 Gamba Osaka 9 -6 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 9 -7 7
18 Avispa Fukuoka 9 -3 5
19 Verdy 9 -8 5
20 Chiba 9 -11 5