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Ogre United vs Jelgava prediction — Virsliga

Virsliga · Latvia
Ogre United €3.45m
Full time 2 : 3
Jelgava €2.78m
1 3.35
X 3.40
2 2.12

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
79%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.67 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Ogre United 41%@3.35
Draw 23%@3.40
Jelgava 36%@2.12
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 79%@1.67
Under 2.5 21%@6.28
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 43%@1.56
No 57%@2.27
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.94
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Ogre UnitedModelJelgava
0.72xG1.01
49%Ball possession51%
10Shots11
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
0Offside calls2
11Fouls made14
Ogre UnitedRealJelgava
1.82xG1.37
41%Ball possession59%
14Shots17
5Shots on goal8
3Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards3
0Offside calls2
19Fouls made12
Ogre UnitedReal · ModelJelgava
1.820.72xG1.371.01
41%49%Ball possession59%51%
1410Shots1711
55Shots on goal84
34Corner kicks64
22Yellow cards32
00Offside calls22
1911Fouls made1214

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Ogre UnitedPer gameJelgava
1.5Goals for / game1.2
2.8Goals against / game1.5
45%Ball possession45%
13.9Shots per game10.8
5.3Corners per game4.0
0.90Expected goals1.06

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Ogre UnitedRateJelgava
40%Wins30%
100%Over 1.580%
90%Over 2.540%
60%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Ogre United WLDLL
W 20 Sept Ogre United Super Nova 1 0 3.00 2.18
L 16 Sept Auda Ogre United 1 0 1.34 7.00
D 11 Sept Ogre United FK Liepaja 2 2 4.50 1.65
L 5 Sept Tukums Ogre United 2 1 1.79 3.85
L 30 Aug Ogre United Rigas FS 0 3 18.50 1.12
L 14 Aug BFC Daugavpils Ogre United 3 1 1.27 8.25
L 9 Aug Riga Ogre United 4 1 1.06 28.00
D 27 Jul Grobina Ogre United 2 2 2.00 3.65
L 19 Jul Ogre United BFC Daugavpils 0 4 3.95 1.87
W 12 Jul Valmiera Ogre United 2 4 – –
Jelgava LDLWL
L 19 Sept Jelgava Riga 0 1 7.50 1.33
D 12 Sept Grobina Jelgava 0 0 2.48 2.73
L 5 Sept Jelgava Super Nova 0 1 1.90 3.70
W 29 Aug Tukums Jelgava 1 4 2.72 2.35
L 9 Aug Jelgava Auda 0 1 3.40 2.12
L 1 Aug BFC Daugavpils Jelgava 2 1 2.12 3.25
L 26 Jul Jelgava FK Liepaja 0 2 3.00 2.17
L 20 Jul Jelgava Rigas FS 0 1 9.00 1.30
L 12 Jul Rigas FS Jelgava 2 0 – –
L 3 Jul Riga Jelgava 3 0 1.17 14.00

Past meetings

Ogre United
1·0·1
Jelgava
  • Jun 2026 Jelgava 0 - 2 Ogre United
  • Apr 2026 Ogre United 0 - 1 Jelgava

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 32 +49 76
2 Riga 32 +56 74
3 Auda 32 +19 62
4 FK Liepaja 32 -2 44
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 0 40
6 Super Nova 32 -11 37
7 Jelgava 32 -17 33
8 Grobina 32 -31 27
9 Tukums 32 -17 25
10 Ogre United 32 -46 19
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