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Notts County vs Burton prediction — League One

League One · England
Notts County €7.15m
Full time 2 : 1
Burton €6.22m
1 2.10
X 3.45
2 3.65

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
81%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.31 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Notts County 54%@2.10
Draw 24%@3.45
Burton 22%@3.65
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 25%@3.93
Under 3.5 75%@1.31
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 36%@1.80
No 64%@1.93
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 64%@1.52
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Notts CountyModelBurton
1.15xG1.11
51%Ball possession49%
10Shots11
4Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
15Fouls made14
Notts CountyRealBurton
2.29xG0.11
60%Ball possession40%
20Shots2
8Shots on goal1
7Corner kicks1
1Yellow cards4
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made22
Notts CountyReal · ModelBurton
2.291.15xG0.111.11
60%51%Ball possession40%49%
2010Shots211
84Shots on goal15
73Corner kicks14
12Yellow cards42
12Offside calls22
1315Fouls made2214

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Notts CountyPer gameBurton
1.3Goals for / game0.9
1.1Goals against / game1.2
40%Ball possession41%
7.8Shots per game13.8
2.8Corners per game3.0
0.93Expected goals1.56

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Notts CountyRateBurton
20%Wins20%
80%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.540%
40%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Notts County WLLDD
W 22 Sept Notts County Grimsby 2 1 2.75 2.55
L 19 Sept Reading Notts County 2 0 1.82 4.40
L 12 Sept Notts County Bradford 0 1 3.00 2.35
D 5 Sept Huddersfield Notts County 1 1 1.70 5.00
D 1 Sept Doncaster Notts County 1 1 2.20 3.30
D 22 Aug Luton Notts County 2 2 1.55 5.80
D 15 Aug Notts County Leicester 1 1 3.75 2.05
D 8 Aug Burnley Notts County 1 1 1.44 7.70
D 1 Aug Walsall Notts County 0 0 2.82 2.40
L 18 Jul Notts County Nottingham 0 2 5.00 1.57
Burton LWDDL
L 3 Oct Burton Huddersfield 1 3 4.25 1.84
W 26 Sept Plymouth Burton 0 1 1.53 5.90
D 22 Sept Burton Nottingham U21 1 1 1.56 4.90
D 19 Sept Burton Mansfield 2 2 2.55 2.75
L 12 Sept Oxford Utd Burton 3 0 1.87 4.20
D 5 Sept Burton Cambridge Utd 2 2 2.82 2.70
W 2 Sept Burton AFC Wimbledon 4 1 2.47 2.95
W 22 Aug Leicester Burton 1 2 1.58 5.60
D 15 Aug Burton Stevenage 1 1 2.70 2.88
L 8 Aug Burton Blackburn 1 2 3.85 2.05

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 +6 19
2 Huddersfield 10 +7 17
3 Bradford 9 +3 17
4 Sheffield Wed 8 +7 15
5 Stockport 9 +7 14
6 Oxford Utd 9 +6 14
7 Cambridge Utd 9 +2 14
8 Reading 9 +7 13
9 Burton 10 -1 13
10 AFC Wimbledon 9 -2 13
11 Leyton Orient 9 +1 11
12 Leicester 9 -2 11
13 Mansfield 10 -3 11
14 Stevenage 8 +3 10
15 Luton 9 -2 10
16 Wycombe 9 -4 10
17 Blackpool 8 0 9
18 Barnsley 8 -5 9
19 Bromley 8 -10 9
20 Doncaster 9 -1 8
21 Notts County 8 -2 8
22 MK Dons 8 -2 7
23 Wigan 10 -6 7
24 Peterborough 9 -9 6
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