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Norway vs Portugal prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 2.42
X 3.90
2 2.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
71%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.57 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Norway 31%@2.42
Draw 43%@3.90
Portugal 26%@2.95
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 71%@1.57
Under 2.5 29%@3.84
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.49
No 42%@2.85
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.68
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NorwayModelPortugal
1.47xG1.38
46%Ball possession54%
12Shots15
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
11Fouls made10
NorwayRealPortugal
2.72xG1.04
62%Ball possession38%
22Shots12
6Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards6
0Offside calls1
8Fouls made12
NorwayReal · ModelPortugal
2.721.47xG1.041.38
62%46%Ball possession38%54%
2212Shots1215
65Shots on goal44
75Corner kicks25
31Yellow cards61
01Offside calls12
811Fouls made1210

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NorwayPer gamePortugal
2.0Goals for / game1.5
1.5Goals against / game0.5
52%Ball possession60%
11.5Shots per game13.7
5.4Corners per game5.6
1.52Expected goals1.42

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NorwayRatePortugal
60%Wins60%
90%Over 1.560%
80%Over 2.540%
90%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Norway LLWLW
L 4 Oct Portugal Norway 2 1 1.74 4.55
L 1 Oct Wales Norway 2 1 7.70 1.47
W 24 Sept Norway Denmark 3 2 1.70 5.25
L 11 Jul Norway England 1 2 4.30 1.93
W 5 Jul Brazil Norway 1 2 1.83 4.90
W 30 Jun Ivory Coast Norway 1 2 3.65 2.20
L 26 Jun Norway France 1 4 7.40 1.45
W 23 Jun Norway Senegal 3 2 2.42 3.20
W 16 Jun Iraq Norway 1 4 14.00 1.28
D 7 Jun Morocco Norway 1 1 3.05 2.57
Portugal WWWLW
W 4 Oct Portugal Norway 2 1 1.74 4.55
W 1 Oct Denmark Portugal 2 4 4.00 2.00
W 24 Sept Portugal Wales 1 0 1.19 18.00
L 6 Jul Portugal Spain 0 1 4.25 2.02
W 3 Jul Portugal Croatia 2 1 1.77 5.65
D 28 Jun Colombia Portugal 0 0 4.15 1.91
W 23 Jun Portugal Uzbekistan 5 0 1.18 23.00
D 17 Jun Portugal Congo DR 1 1 1.33 12.50
W 10 Jun Portugal Nigeria 2 1 1.41 9.00
W 6 Jun Portugal Chile 2 1 1.23 14.50

Past meetings

Norway
0·0·1
Portugal
  • Oct 2026 Portugal 2 - 1 Norway