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Northampton vs Newport prediction — League Two

League Two · England
Northampton €4.55m
Full time 1 : 0
Newport €2.00m
1 1.78
X 3.55
2 4.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.30 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Northampton 57%@1.78
Draw 24%@3.55
Newport 19%@4.55
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.34
Under 3.5 72%@1.30
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.87
No 44%@1.85
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@2.40
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NorthamptonModelNewport
0.77xG0.82
53%Ball possession47%
11Shots9
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made13
NorthamptonRealNewport
0.32xG0.30
52%Ball possession48%
8Shots3
4Shots on goal2
2Corner kicks0
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
15Fouls made11
NorthamptonReal · ModelNewport
0.320.77xG0.300.82
52%53%Ball possession48%47%
811Shots39
45Shots on goal24
26Corner kicks03
31Yellow cards22
12Offside calls12
1511Fouls made1113

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NorthamptonPer gameNewport
0.9Goals for / game1.5
1.0Goals against / game2.1
39%Ball possession35%
9.7Shots per game9.7
6.0Corners per game3.7
0.69Expected goals0.98

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NorthamptonRateNewport
20%Wins20%
50%Over 1.590%
30%Over 2.580%
40%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Northampton LLDDL
L 19 Sept Northampton Rotherham 0 1 2.65 2.62
L 12 Sept Shrewsbury Northampton 2 0 2.70 2.72
D 1 Sept Northampton Crawley 1 1 1.70 5.00
D 29 Aug Gillingham Northampton 1 1 3.15 2.38
L 22 Aug Crewe Northampton 1 0 2.20 3.20
L 18 Aug Northampton Brighton U21 0 3 1.60 4.75
D 15 Aug Northampton Swindon 0 0 2.15 3.25
L 8 Aug Leicester Northampton 1 0 1.30 9.50
W 1 Aug Solihull Moors Northampton 2 4 3.85 1.80
D 28 Jul Cambridge Utd Northampton 0 0 1.93 3.75
Newport DWWDD
D 3 Oct Gillingham Newport 0 0 1.92 3.80
W 26 Sept Newport Grimsby 2 1 4.15 1.92
W 22 Sept Swindon Newport 0 2 1.93 3.55
D 19 Sept Accrington Newport 0 0 2.18 3.30
D 12 Sept Newport Fleetwood 1 1 3.30 2.12
L 1 Sept Salford Newport 2 1 1.50 6.60
D 29 Aug Newport Tranmere 2 2 2.72 2.70
L 22 Aug Bristol Rovers Newport 5 3 1.72 4.80
W 15 Aug Newport Rochdale 3 0 3.05 2.35
D 8 Aug AFC Wimbledon Newport 1 1 1.73 4.50

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barnet 9 +7 17
2 Salford 10 +3 17
3 York 10 +6 16
4 Walsall 10 +6 16
5 Crewe 10 +4 16
6 Cheltenham 10 +2 16
7 Bristol Rovers 10 0 16
8 Chesterfield 10 +3 15
9 Grimsby 10 +3 14
10 Gillingham 10 +2 14
11 Rochdale 10 -1 14
12 Tranmere 10 0 12
13 Oldham 10 -2 12
14 Swindon 10 -4 12
15 Shrewsbury 10 -5 12
16 Newport 10 0 11
17 Accrington 10 -1 11
18 Rotherham 10 -1 11
19 Fleetwood 10 -1 11
20 Exeter 10 -1 10
21 Colchester 10 -4 9
22 Northampton 9 -3 8
23 Port Vale 9 -6 7
24 Crawley 9 -7 6
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