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Nijmegen vs Excelsior prediction — Eredivisie

Eredivisie · Netherlands
Nijmegen €44.67m
Full time 2 : 2
Excelsior €17.05m
1 1.97
X 4.10
2 3.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
87%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.59 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nijmegen 61%@1.97
Draw 19%@4.10
Excelsior 20%@3.90
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 81%@1.59
Under 2.5 19%@6.78
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.53
No 31%@2.50
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 85%@1.50
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NijmegenModelExcelsior
1.89xG1.50
55%Ball possession45%
19Shots12
8Shots on goal7
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made12
NijmegenRealExcelsior
1.36xG1.81
69%Ball possession31%
11Shots14
3Shots on goal5
2Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards3
3Offside calls0
5Fouls made16
NijmegenReal · ModelExcelsior
1.361.89xG1.811.50
69%55%Ball possession31%45%
1119Shots1412
38Shots on goal57
26Corner kicks44
12Yellow cards31
32Offside calls01
512Fouls made1612

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NijmegenPer gameExcelsior
1.3Goals for / game3.0
1.7Goals against / game1.0
55%Ball possession45%
15.4Shots per game13.4
4.6Corners per game4.6
1.64Expected goals1.53

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NijmegenRateExcelsior
30%Wins90%
80%Over 1.5100%
80%Over 2.590%
70%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Nijmegen DLLLW
D 20 Sept Nijmegen G.A. Eagles 1 1 2.30 2.90
L 17 Sept Juventus(Ita) Nijmegen(Ned) 5 0 1.23 17.00
L 12 Sept Cambuur Nijmegen 3 0 5.00 1.65
L 5 Sept Nijmegen Feyenoord 1 3 2.80 2.37
W 29 Aug Zwolle Nijmegen 1 3 3.70 1.93
L 25 Aug Bodo/Glimt(Nor) Nijmegen(Ned) 3 0 1.57 5.35
L 19 Aug Nijmegen(Ned) Bodo/Glimt(Nor) 1 3 2.85 2.45
W 15 Aug Willem II Nijmegen 1 4 5.10 1.67
W 11 Aug Nijmegen Olympiakos 2 1 2.50 3.15
L 8 Aug Nijmegen Telstar 1 2 1.50 6.30
Excelsior DLWWL
D 19 Sept Ajax Excelsior 2 2 1.24 12.00
L 13 Sept Excelsior Utrecht 1 2 2.12 3.30
W 5 Sept Willem II Excelsior 0 3 3.05 2.27
W 29 Aug Excelsior S. Rotterdam 2 1 2.22 3.10
L 15 Aug Excelsior PSV 1 2 6.80 1.47
W 7 Aug Cambuur Excelsior 0 4 2.67 2.72
W 1 Aug De Graafschap Excelsior 1 5 3.00 1.97
W 24 Jul Heracles Excelsior 1 4 – –
W 18 Jul NAC Breda Excelsior 1 3 2.52 2.45
W 11 Jul Dordrecht Excelsior 0 2 – –

Past meetings

Nijmegen
3·0·0
Excelsior
  • Apr 2026 Excelsior 0 - 2 Nijmegen
  • Aug 2025 Nijmegen 5 - 0 Excelsior
  • May 2024 Excelsior 0 - 3 Nijmegen

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 +12 20
2 Feyenoord 8 +18 18
3 PSV 8 +14 17
4 Twente 8 +8 17
5 Ajax 8 +12 15
6 Sittard (Ned) 8 -1 14
7 Excelsior 9 +6 13
8 Groningen 8 +2 12
9 G.A. Eagles 8 +2 11
10 Heerenveen 9 +2 11
11 Nijmegen 8 -1 9
12 S. Rotterdam 8 -7 6
13 Telstar 8 -7 6
14 Cambuur 8 -9 6
15 Utrecht 8 -13 6
16 Zwolle 8 -14 5
17 Den Haag 8 -10 3
18 Willem II 8 -14 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day