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Newcastle vs West Brom prediction — League Cup

League Cup · England
1 1.33
X 6.40
2 10.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
57%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @4.00 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Newcastle 43%@1.33
Draw 35%@6.40
West Brom 22%@10.50
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 73%@1.42
Under 2.5 27%@3.84
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.78
No 44%@2.05

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NewcastleModelWest Brom
1.73xG1.50
45%Ball possession55%
14Shots10
7Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards1
1Offside calls3
11Fouls made9
NewcastleRealWest Brom
2.93xG1.46
56%Ball possession44%
16Shots12
7Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards3
3Offside calls2
14Fouls made13
NewcastleReal · ModelWest Brom
2.931.73xG1.461.50
56%45%Ball possession44%55%
1614Shots1210
77Shots on goal37
64Corner kicks22
33Yellow cards31
31Offside calls23
1411Fouls made139

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NewcastlePer gameWest Brom
1.5Goals for / game2.6
1.7Goals against / game0.7
54%Ball possession56%
10.0Shots per game12.7
6.8Corners per game2.5
0.86Expected goals1.71

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NewcastleRateWest Brom
30%Wins80%
100%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.580%
80%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Newcastle WLWDW
W 19 Sept Newcastle Hull 2 1 1.65 5.30
L 14 Sept Leeds Newcastle 4 1 2.40 3.05
W 8 Sept Millwall Newcastle 0 1 8.25 1.42
D 5 Sept Newcastle Bournemouth 2 2 2.17 3.40
W 29 Aug Tottenham Newcastle 0 2 2.22 3.15
D 23 Aug Newcastle Liverpool 2 2 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Newcastle(Eng) Strasbourg(Fra) 1 1 1.92 3.70
L 15 Aug Newcastle(Eng) Leverkusen(Ger) 1 2 2.26 2.92
L 12 Aug Newcastle Everton 1 3 2.25 2.87
W 8 Aug Valencia Newcastle 1 2 2.95 2.25
West Brom LDWWD
L 20 Sept Wolves West Brom 1 0 1.90 4.30
D 12 Sept West Brom QPR 1 1 2.22 3.50
W 9 Sept Derby West Brom 0 1 3.40 2.20
W 5 Sept West Brom Watford 1 0 1.80 4.65
D 2 Sept West Brom Charlton 1 1 1.70 5.40
L 29 Aug Middlesbrough West Brom 3 1 1.74 4.65
W 23 Aug West Brom Burnley 3 1 2.63 2.87
W 15 Aug Norwich West Brom 1 2 2.02 3.90
W 8 Aug Rotherham West Brom 1 4 6.00 1.52
W 1 Aug Peterborough West Brom 0 2 4.05 1.76

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.