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Newcastle vs Liverpool prediction — Premier League

Premier League · England
Newcastle €586.30m
Full time 2 : 2
Liverpool €999.50m
1 3.90
X 4.15
2 1.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.29 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Newcastle 20%@3.90
Draw 19%@4.15
Liverpool 61%@1.95
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 77%@1.50
Under 2.5 23%@5.02
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 63%@1.48
No 37%@2.70
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 70%@1.43
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NewcastleModelLiverpool
1.33xG1.37
47%Ball possession53%
11Shots14
6Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made12
NewcastleRealLiverpool
1.42xG2.71
39%Ball possession61%
13Shots27
4Shots on goal7
2Corner kicks6
5Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
16Fouls made15
NewcastleReal · ModelLiverpool
1.421.33xG2.711.37
39%47%Ball possession61%53%
1311Shots2714
46Shots on goal77
24Corner kicks66
52Yellow cards31
21Offside calls12
1610Fouls made1512

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NewcastlePer gameLiverpool
1.4Goals for / game1.8
1.6Goals against / game1.9
57%Ball possession51%
10.6Shots per game11.7
6.6Corners per game4.5
0.89Expected goals1.14

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NewcastleRateLiverpool
30%Wins30%
100%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.560%
80%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Newcastle WLWDW
W 19 Sept Newcastle Hull 2 1 1.65 5.30
L 14 Sept Leeds Newcastle 4 1 2.40 3.05
W 8 Sept Millwall Newcastle 0 1 8.25 1.42
D 5 Sept Newcastle Bournemouth 2 2 2.17 3.40
W 29 Aug Tottenham Newcastle 0 2 2.22 3.15
W 26 Aug Newcastle West Brom 3 2 1.33 10.50
D 16 Aug Newcastle(Eng) Strasbourg(Fra) 1 1 1.92 3.70
L 15 Aug Newcastle(Eng) Leverkusen(Ger) 1 2 2.26 2.92
L 12 Aug Newcastle Everton 1 3 2.25 2.87
W 8 Aug Valencia Newcastle 1 2 2.95 2.25
Liverpool WWDWW
W 20 Sept Bournemouth Liverpool 0 1 3.10 2.30
W 15 Sept Liverpool Tottenham 3 1 2.07 3.85
D 12 Sept Liverpool Fulham 0 0 1.57 6.10
W 9 Sept Liverpool(Eng) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 2 1 1.80 4.75
W 4 Sept Ipswich Liverpool 0 2 6.00 1.67
D 29 Aug Liverpool Nottingham 2 2 1.53 6.75
D 16 Aug Liverpool(Eng) Como(Ita) 0 0 1.83 3.70
L 9 Aug Liverpool Monaco 2 3 1.45 6.10
L 2 Aug Liverpool Leeds 2 4 2.02 3.90
W 30 Jul Liverpool Wrexham 1 0 1.42 5.40

Past meetings

Newcastle
1·1·3
Liverpool
  • Jan 2026 Liverpool 4 - 1 Newcastle
  • Aug 2025 Newcastle 2 - 3 Liverpool
  • Mar 2025 Liverpool 1 - 2 Newcastle
  • Feb 2025 Liverpool 2 - 0 Newcastle
  • Dec 2024 Newcastle 3 - 3 Liverpool

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 +8 16
2 Arsenal 6 +4 13
3 Brighton 6 +11 11
4 Brentford 6 +6 10
5 Leeds 6 +4 10
6 Liverpool 6 +3 10
7 Everton 6 +3 10
8 Hull 6 +2 9
9 Newcastle 6 0 9
10 Chelsea 6 -2 8
11 Ipswich 6 -4 7
12 Manchester Utd 6 0 6
13 Nottingham 6 -1 6
14 Sunderland 6 -4 5
15 Crystal Palace 6 -5 5
16 Aston Villa 6 -5 5
17 Bournemouth 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 6 -9 4
19 Fulham 6 -3 3
20 Tottenham 6 -6 3
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