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Newcastle vs Bournemouth prediction — Premier League

Premier League · England
Newcastle €626.10m
Full time 2 : 2
Bournemouth €574.55m
1 2.17
X 3.65
2 3.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
59%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.37 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Newcastle 46%@2.17
Draw 26%@3.65
Bournemouth 28%@3.40
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 64%@1.63
Under 2.5 36%@2.90
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.54
No 42%@2.50
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 57%@1.60
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NewcastleModelBournemouth
1.79xG1.33
51%Ball possession49%
14Shots11
7Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made12
NewcastleRealBournemouth
0.68xG1.54
57%Ball possession43%
8Shots17
2Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
19Fouls made17
NewcastleReal · ModelBournemouth
0.681.79xG1.541.33
57%51%Ball possession43%49%
814Shots1711
27Shots on goal56
45Corner kicks35
23Yellow cards32
12Offside calls11
1912Fouls made1712

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NewcastlePer gameBournemouth
1.7Goals for / game2.7
1.6Goals against / game1.3
52%Ball possession46%
11.0Shots per game11.8
6.4Corners per game5.0
1.22Expected goals1.30

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NewcastleRateBournemouth
40%Wins40%
100%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.560%
80%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Newcastle WLWWW
W 19 Sept Newcastle Hull 2 1 1.65 5.30
L 14 Sept Leeds Newcastle 4 1 2.40 3.05
W 8 Sept Millwall Newcastle 0 1 8.25 1.42
W 29 Aug Tottenham Newcastle 0 2 2.22 3.15
W 26 Aug Newcastle West Brom 3 2 1.33 10.50
D 23 Aug Newcastle Liverpool 2 2 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Newcastle(Eng) Strasbourg(Fra) 1 1 1.92 3.70
L 15 Aug Newcastle(Eng) Leverkusen(Ger) 1 2 2.26 2.92
L 12 Aug Newcastle Everton 1 3 2.25 2.87
W 8 Aug Valencia Newcastle 1 2 2.95 2.25
Bournemouth LWDWD
L 20 Sept Bournemouth Liverpool 0 1 3.10 2.30
W 17 Sept Real Sociedad(Esp) Bournemouth(Eng) 1 2 3.60 2.15
D 12 Sept Bournemouth Brentford 2 2 2.37 2.90
W 8 Sept Bournemouth Lincoln 4 0 1.26 12.50
D 29 Aug Bournemouth Everton 1 1 2.17 3.50
L 23 Aug Manchester City Bournemouth 2 1 1.53 6.50
L 15 Aug Mainz (Ger)(Ger) Bournemouth(Eng) 2 1 2.95 2.25
D 8 Aug Betis Bournemouth 2 2 2.60 2.45
W 4 Aug Bournemouth Genoa 10 1 1.55 5.20
W 30 Jul Augsburg Bournemouth 2 5 3.90 1.80

Past meetings

Newcastle
0·4·2
Bournemouth
  • Apr 2026 Newcastle 1 - 2 Bournemouth
  • Jan 2026 Newcastle 3 - 3 Bournemouth
  • Sept 2025 Bournemouth 0 - 0 Newcastle
  • Jan 2025 Newcastle 1 - 4 Bournemouth
  • Aug 2024 Bournemouth 1 - 1 Newcastle
  • Feb 2024 Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 +8 16
2 Arsenal 6 +4 13
3 Brighton 6 +11 11
4 Brentford 6 +6 10
5 Leeds 6 +4 10
6 Liverpool 6 +3 10
7 Everton 6 +3 10
8 Hull 6 +2 9
9 Newcastle 6 0 9
10 Chelsea 6 -2 8
11 Ipswich 6 -4 7
12 Manchester Utd 6 0 6
13 Nottingham 6 -1 6
14 Sunderland 6 -4 5
15 Crystal Palace 6 -5 5
16 Aston Villa 6 -5 5
17 Bournemouth 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 6 -9 4
19 Fulham 6 -3 3
20 Tottenham 6 -6 3
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