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Netherlands vs Sweden prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
1 1.78
X 4.15
2 5.10

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Netherlands win 1 Odds @1.78 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Netherlands 78%@1.78
Draw 12%@4.15
Sweden 10%@5.10
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 81%@1.21
Under 1.5 19%@5.16
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.63
No 40%@2.28

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NetherlandsPer gameSweden
2.3Goals for / game1.6
0.9Goals against / game1.9
59%Ball possession49%
13.9Shots per game10.4
5.7Corners per game3.9
2.07Expected goals1.21

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NetherlandsRateSweden
60%Wins30%
90%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Netherlands WDWDD
W 4 Oct Netherlands Serbia 2 1 1.21 14.50
D 1 Oct Greece Netherlands 2 2 3.25 2.25
W 27 Sept Serbia Netherlands 1 2 7.00 1.50
D 24 Sept Netherlands Germany 1 1 2.70 2.55
D 30 Jun Netherlands Morocco 1 1 2.43 3.45
W 26 Jun Tunisia Netherlands 1 3 26.00 1.14
D 14 Jun Netherlands Japan 2 2 2.08 4.00
W 8 Jun Netherlands Uzbekistan 2 1 1.26 14.00
L 3 Jun Netherlands Algeria 0 1 1.35 11.00
D 31 Mar Netherlands Ecuador 1 1 1.59 7.00
Sweden DWWLD
D 2 Oct Bosnia H Sweden 1 1 2.77 2.52
W 28 Sept Sweden Poland 3 1 2.05 3.70
W 25 Sept Sweden Romania 2 1 1.50 6.75
L 30 Jun France Sweden 3 0 1.34 10.25
D 26 Jun Japan Sweden 1 1 2.30 3.55
W 15 Jun Sweden Tunisia 5 1 1.91 5.00
D 4 Jun Sweden Greece 2 2 1.95 4.20
L 1 Jun Norway Sweden 3 1 1.72 4.75
W 31 Mar Sweden Poland 3 2 2.18 3.75
W 26 Mar Ukraine Sweden 1 3 3.40 2.35

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.