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Netherlands vs Serbia prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
Netherlands €689.00m
Full time 2 : 1
Serbia €281.80m
1 1.21
X 7.80
2 14.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
80%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.39 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Netherlands 64%@1.21
Draw 23%@7.80
Serbia 13%@14.50
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 80%@1.39
Under 2.5 20%@5.56
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 43%@1.99
No 57%@1.90
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NetherlandsModelSerbia
2.20xG0.95
59%Ball possession41%
19Shots7
6Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
11Fouls made10
NetherlandsRealSerbia
2.74xG1.66
65%Ball possession35%
22Shots14
7Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards4
1Offside calls2
14Fouls made13
NetherlandsReal · ModelSerbia
2.742.20xG1.660.95
65%59%Ball possession35%41%
2219Shots147
76Shots on goal43
66Corner kicks44
12Yellow cards42
13Offside calls22
1411Fouls made1310

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NetherlandsPer gameSerbia
1.9Goals for / game1.0
1.2Goals against / game2.2
55%Ball possession45%
14.6Shots per game10.8
5.3Corners per game5.1
2.00Expected goals1.28

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NetherlandsRateSerbia
40%Wins30%
90%Over 1.5100%
60%Over 2.580%
90%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Netherlands DWDDW
D 1 Oct Greece Netherlands 2 2 3.25 2.25
W 27 Sept Serbia Netherlands 1 2 7.00 1.50
D 24 Sept Netherlands Germany 1 1 2.70 2.55
D 30 Jun Netherlands Morocco 1 1 2.43 3.45
W 26 Jun Tunisia Netherlands 1 3 26.00 1.14
W 20 Jun Netherlands Sweden 5 1 1.78 5.10
D 14 Jun Netherlands Japan 2 2 2.08 4.00
W 8 Jun Netherlands Uzbekistan 2 1 1.26 14.00
L 3 Jun Netherlands Algeria 0 1 1.35 11.00
D 31 Mar Netherlands Ecuador 1 1 1.59 7.00
Serbia LLLLL
L 1 Oct Germany Serbia 2 0 1.21 15.50
L 27 Sept Serbia Netherlands 1 2 7.00 1.50
L 24 Sept Serbia Greece 1 2 3.20 2.45
L 5 Jun Mexico Serbia 5 1 1.36 10.00
L 31 May Cape Verde Serbia 3 0 3.40 2.28
W 31 Mar Serbia Saudi Arabia 2 1 1.50 8.40
L 27 Mar Spain Serbia 3 0 1.20 18.50
D 26 Mar Qatar Serbia 0 0 – –
W 16 Nov Serbia Latvia 2 1 1.25 21.00
L 13 Nov England Serbia 2 0 1.28 11.00

Past meetings

Netherlands
1·0·0
Serbia
  • Sept 2026 Serbia 1 - 2 Netherlands
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