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Netherlands vs Japan prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
1 2.08
X 3.60
2 4.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
71%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.31 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Netherlands 29%@2.08
Draw 17%@3.60
Japan 54%@4.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 29%@3.21
Under 3.5 71%@1.31
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 27%@1.85
No 73%@1.96

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NetherlandsPer gameJapan
2.2Goals for / game1.4
0.8Goals against / game0.6
61%Ball possession46%
14.3Shots per game10.9
5.9Corners per game3.7
2.23Expected goals1.48

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NetherlandsRateJapan
60%Wins70%
90%Over 1.550%
60%Over 2.530%
60%BTTS20%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Netherlands WDWDD
W 4 Oct Netherlands Serbia 2 1 1.21 14.50
D 1 Oct Greece Netherlands 2 2 3.25 2.25
W 27 Sept Serbia Netherlands 1 2 7.00 1.50
D 24 Sept Netherlands Germany 1 1 2.70 2.55
D 30 Jun Netherlands Morocco 1 1 2.43 3.45
W 26 Jun Tunisia Netherlands 1 3 26.00 1.14
W 20 Jun Netherlands Sweden 5 1 1.78 5.10
W 8 Jun Netherlands Uzbekistan 2 1 1.26 14.00
L 3 Jun Netherlands Algeria 0 1 1.35 11.00
D 31 Mar Netherlands Ecuador 1 1 1.59 7.00
Japan DWWLD
D 1 Oct Japan Ecuador 0 0 1.63 5.80
W 28 Sept Japan Venezuela 2 1 1.23 13.50
W 24 Sept Japan Uruguay 3 1 1.75 5.10
L 29 Jun Brazil Japan 2 1 1.85 5.15
D 26 Jun Japan Sweden 1 1 2.30 3.55
W 21 Jun Tunisia Japan 0 4 8.50 1.45
W 31 May Japan Iceland 1 0 1.20 16.00
W 31 Mar England Japan 0 1 1.65 6.00
W 28 Mar Scotland Japan 0 1 3.20 2.40
W 18 Nov Japan Bolivia 3 0 1.15 22.00

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.