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Netherlands vs Germany prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
Netherlands €852.00m
Full time 1 : 1
Germany €1.33bn
1 2.70
X 4.10
2 2.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
69%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.49 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Netherlands 57%@2.70
Draw 16%@4.10
Germany 27%@2.55
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 69%@1.49
Under 2.5 31%@3.32
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.42
No 56%@2.95
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.64
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:3 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NetherlandsModelGermany
1.73xG1.97
46%Ball possession54%
12Shots19
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made11
NetherlandsRealGermany
3.11xG1.50
54%Ball possession46%
22Shots10
10Shots on goal2
12Corner kicks1
3Yellow cards1
3Offside calls1
11Fouls made16
NetherlandsReal · ModelGermany
3.111.73xG1.501.97
54%46%Ball possession46%54%
2212Shots1019
105Shots on goal25
125Corner kicks16
31Yellow cards12
32Offside calls12
1111Fouls made1611

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NetherlandsPer gameGermany
2.1Goals for / game3.0
1.0Goals against / game0.8
54%Ball possession57%
12.2Shots per game17.8
4.5Corners per game7.5
1.80Expected goals2.39

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NetherlandsRateGermany
50%Wins80%
90%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.570%
80%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Netherlands WDWDW
W 4 Oct Netherlands Serbia 2 1 1.21 14.50
D 1 Oct Greece Netherlands 2 2 3.25 2.25
W 27 Sept Serbia Netherlands 1 2 7.00 1.50
D 30 Jun Netherlands Morocco 1 1 2.43 3.45
W 26 Jun Tunisia Netherlands 1 3 26.00 1.14
W 20 Jun Netherlands Sweden 5 1 1.78 5.10
D 14 Jun Netherlands Japan 2 2 2.08 4.00
W 8 Jun Netherlands Uzbekistan 2 1 1.26 14.00
L 3 Jun Netherlands Algeria 0 1 1.35 11.00
D 31 Mar Netherlands Ecuador 1 1 1.59 7.00
Germany DWLDD
D 4 Oct Greece Germany 0 0 4.20 1.90
W 1 Oct Germany Serbia 2 0 1.21 15.50
L 27 Sept Germany Greece 0 1 1.51 7.00
D 29 Jun Germany Paraguay 1 1 1.38 10.50
D 25 Jun Ecuador Germany 0 0 5.35 1.65
W 20 Jun Germany Ivory Coast 2 1 1.52 7.50
W 14 Jun Germany Curacao 7 1 1.05 60.00
W 6 Jun USA Germany 1 2 4.60 1.76
W 31 May Germany Finland 4 0 1.13 22.00
W 30 Mar Germany Ghana 2 1 1.17 17.00

Past meetings

Netherlands
0·1·1
Germany
  • Oct 2024 Germany 1 - 0 Netherlands
  • Sept 2024 Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany
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