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Necaxa vs Leon prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
Necaxa €37.17m
Full time 1 : 2
Leon €49.90m
1 2.72
X 3.45
2 2.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
73%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.87 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Necaxa 28%@2.72
Draw 43%@3.45
Leon 29%@2.70
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 73%@1.87
Under 2.5 27%@5.06
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.68
No 42%@2.20
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.87
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NecaxaModelLeon
1.60xG1.07
50%Ball possession50%
13Shots13
7Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made13
NecaxaRealLeon
1.19xG0.98
61%Ball possession39%
24Shots16
8Shots on goal7
7Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards1
0Offside calls0
15Fouls made14
NecaxaReal · ModelLeon
1.191.60xG0.981.07
61%50%Ball possession39%50%
2413Shots1613
87Shots on goal77
75Corner kicks35
23Yellow cards12
01Offside calls01
1513Fouls made1413

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NecaxaPer gameLeon
1.6Goals for / game2.3
1.8Goals against / game2.0
50%Ball possession51%
12.7Shots per game14.8
5.3Corners per game6.3
1.49Expected goals1.12

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NecaxaRateLeon
50%Wins60%
80%Over 1.570%
70%Over 2.570%
70%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Necaxa LLLDL
L 28 Sept Necaxa Club America 2 4 3.95 1.98
L 20 Sept Atl. San Luis Necaxa 3 1 2.30 3.05
L 12 Sept Necaxa Puebla 0 1 2.05 3.45
D 6 Sept Tigres UANL Necaxa 1 1 1.75 5.20
L 29 Aug Necaxa Cruz Azul 1 3 3.70 1.97
D 24 Aug UNAM Pumas Necaxa 1 1 1.98 3.65
W 14 Aug New York City(Usa) Necaxa(Mex) 1 2 1.72 4.50
L 10 Aug Philadelp Necaxa 3 1 1.59 5.10
L 7 Aug Chicago Fire Necaxa 2 0 1.56 5.60
L 3 Aug Toluca Necaxa 3 1 1.47 6.25
Leon WDWLW
W 28 Sept Leon Juarez 2 1 1.57 6.90
D 21 Sept Queretaro Leon 1 1 2.72 2.65
W 15 Sept Leon Atl. San Luis 2 0 1.83 4.15
L 11 Sept UNAM Pumas Leon 3 1 2.20 3.30
W 6 Sept Leon(Mex) Club America(Mex) 1 0 3.30 2.15
L 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
D 29 Aug Atlante Leon 1 1 2.57 2.65
W 26 Aug Leon(Mex) Real Salt Lake(Usa) 3 0 2.95 2.50
W 22 Aug Leon Monterrey 1 0 3.00 2.27
W 13 Aug Inter Miami Leon 2 3 1.91 3.85

Past meetings

Necaxa
2·1·3
Leon
  • Mar 2026 Leon 2 - 1 Necaxa
  • Jan 2026 Leon 1 - 2 Necaxa
  • Aug 2025 Necaxa 0 - 1 Leon
  • Mar 2025 Necaxa 2 - 1 Leon
  • Jul 2024 Leon 1 - 1 Necaxa
  • Apr 2024 Necaxa 1 - 2 Leon

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4
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