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Necaxa vs Cruz Azul prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
Necaxa €37.17m
Full time 1 : 3
Cruz Azul €88.72m
1 3.70
X 3.65
2 1.97

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
59%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.30 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Necaxa 27%@3.70
Draw 28%@3.65
Cruz Azul 45%@1.97
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 64%@1.72
Under 2.5 36%@3.06
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.61
No 40%@2.30
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 57%@1.54
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NecaxaModelCruz Azul
1.40xG1.59
50%Ball possession50%
13Shots18
7Shots on goal9
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made11
NecaxaRealCruz Azul
0.48xG1.83
46%Ball possession54%
13Shots22
4Shots on goal8
7Corner kicks7
5Yellow cards2
0Offside calls1
15Fouls made14
NecaxaReal · ModelCruz Azul
0.481.40xG1.831.59
46%50%Ball possession54%50%
1313Shots2218
47Shots on goal89
75Corner kicks76
52Yellow cards22
01Offside calls11
1513Fouls made1411

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NecaxaPer gameCruz Azul
1.0Goals for / game1.8
1.4Goals against / game1.7
52%Ball possession55%
15.0Shots per game17.3
5.4Corners per game5.2
1.50Expected goals1.52

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NecaxaRateCruz Azul
30%Wins50%
80%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.580%
70%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Necaxa LLLDD
L 28 Sept Necaxa Club America 2 4 3.95 1.98
L 20 Sept Atl. San Luis Necaxa 3 1 2.30 3.05
L 12 Sept Necaxa Puebla 0 1 2.05 3.45
D 6 Sept Tigres UANL Necaxa 1 1 1.75 5.20
D 24 Aug UNAM Pumas Necaxa 1 1 1.98 3.65
L 18 Aug Necaxa Leon 1 2 2.72 2.70
W 14 Aug New York City(Usa) Necaxa(Mex) 1 2 1.72 4.50
L 10 Aug Philadelp Necaxa 3 1 1.59 5.10
L 7 Aug Chicago Fire Necaxa 2 0 1.56 5.60
L 3 Aug Toluca Necaxa 3 1 1.47 6.25
Cruz Azul DLLWW
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 20 Sept Monterrey Cruz Azul 1 0 2.27 3.00
L 17 Sept Inter Miami(Usa) Cruz Azul(Mex) 2 0 2.25 2.87
W 13 Sept Cruz Azul Club America 4 3 2.77 2.50
W 7 Sept Cruz Azul Santos Laguna 1 0 1.39 7.30
L 23 Aug Cruz Azul Atlas 0 2 1.65 5.70
L 17 Aug Club Tijuana Cruz Azul 2 1 3.15 2.35
L 14 Aug Cruz Azul(Mex) Chicago Fire(Usa) 1 2 2.55 3.05
W 10 Aug Cruz Azul New York City 2 1 2.28 3.05
W 7 Aug Cruz Azul Philadelp 1 0 2.45 2.77

Past meetings

Necaxa
1·1·3
Cruz Azul
  • Apr 2026 Cruz Azul 4 - 1 Necaxa
  • Oct 2025 Necaxa 1 - 1 Cruz Azul
  • Jan 2025 Necaxa 1 - 3 Cruz Azul
  • Oct 2024 Cruz Azul 3 - 0 Necaxa
  • Mar 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 2 Necaxa

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4
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