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Napoli vs Arsenal prediction — UEFA Champions League

1 6.10
X 4.15
2 1.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.17 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Napoli 9%@6.10
Draw 13%@4.15
Arsenal 78%@1.70
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 17%@6.64
Under 3.5 83%@1.36
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 27%@1.95
No 73%@1.88
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 82%@1.36
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NapoliModelArsenal
1.19xG1.75
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots14
6Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
4Offside calls4
8Fouls made10
NapoliRealArsenal
0.23xG4.05
42%Ball possession58%
5Shots26
3Shots on goal8
0Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made11
NapoliReal · ModelArsenal
0.231.19xG4.051.75
42%49%Ball possession58%51%
512Shots2614
36Shots on goal87
04Corner kicks65
21Yellow cards12
14Offside calls14
128Fouls made1110

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NapoliPer gameArsenal
2.1Goals for / game2.0
1.2Goals against / game1.1
55%Ball possession53%
13.2Shots per game12.4
4.2Corners per game5.0
1.46Expected goals1.84

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NapoliRateArsenal
60%Wins60%
90%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Napoli(Ita) DWLLW
D 20 Sept Fiorentina Napoli 1 1 3.25 2.32
W 13 Sept Napoli Bologna 1 0 1.92 4.30
L 5 Sept Inter Napoli 3 2 1.72 5.55
L 30 Aug Napoli Como 1 2 2.40 3.45
W 22 Aug Genoa Napoli 0 2 4.20 2.20
W 12 Aug Napoli Aris 6 2 1.36 7.50
D 8 Aug Napoli Celta Vigo 1 1 1.99 3.65
W 5 Aug Napoli Osasuna 2 1 1.85 4.60
W 26 Jul Napoli Carrarese 2 0 1.27 9.25
L 22 Jul Napoli Arezzo 1 3 1.19 13.00
Arsenal(Eng) LWWWW
L 19 Sept Brighton Arsenal 3 0 5.10 1.74
W 15 Sept Ipswich Arsenal 2 4 9.00 1.43
W 12 Sept Sunderland Arsenal 0 2 6.40 1.67
W 6 Sept Arsenal Chelsea 2 1 1.82 5.00
W 31 Aug Aston Villa Arsenal 0 1 6.50 1.57
W 21 Aug Arsenal Coventry 3 0 1.23 16.50
W 16 Aug Arsenal Manchester City 3 0 2.92 2.67
D 12 Aug Arsenal Como 1 1 1.75 5.00
L 9 Aug Arsenal Dortmund 2 3 – –
L 5 Aug Arsenal Betis 1 3 1.55 6.75

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.