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Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus prediction — J1 League

J1 League · Japan
Nagasaki €13.62m
Full time 2 : 0
Nagoya Grampus €13.35m
1 3.60
X 3.60
2 1.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
61%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.31 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nagasaki 27%@3.60
Draw 26%@3.60
Nagoya Grampus 47%@1.95
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 66%@1.69
Under 2.5 34%@3.28
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 64%@1.60
No 36%@2.25
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 59%@1.52
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NagasakiModelNagoya Grampus
0.96xG1.19
46%Ball possession54%
10Shots13
5Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
8Fouls made9
NagasakiRealNagoya Grampus
2.44xG1.19
32%Ball possession68%
16Shots12
9Shots on goal2
3Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls0
17Fouls made13
NagasakiReal · ModelNagoya Grampus
2.440.96xG1.191.19
32%46%Ball possession68%54%
1610Shots1213
95Shots on goal25
34Corner kicks45
12Yellow cards11
11Offside calls02
178Fouls made139

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NagasakiPer gameNagoya Grampus
1.2Goals for / game1.0
1.6Goals against / game1.9
48%Ball possession58%
9.3Shots per game13.1
4.1Corners per game4.8
0.84Expected goals1.25

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NagasakiRateNagoya Grampus
40%Wins20%
70%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.580%
50%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Nagasaki LDWLD
L 29 Sept Gainare Tottori Nagasaki 2 0 10.00 1.32
D 19 Sept Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka 1 1 3.00 2.30
W 9 Sept Kochi United Nagasaki 0 1 4.70 1.65
L 6 Sept Vissel Kobe Nagasaki 3 1 1.62 5.50
D 2 Sept Nagasaki Gamba Osaka 2 2 3.10 2.47
L 29 Aug Nagasaki FC Tokyo 0 3 5.70 1.60
W 26 Aug Nagasaki Ehime 3 2 1.29 8.50
L 21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol Nagasaki 1 0 1.45 7.60
L 15 Aug Okayama Nagasaki 1 0 1.77 5.00
W 9 Aug Nagasaki Kyoto 2 1 3.40 2.30
Nagoya Grampus WLLLW
W 29 Sept Kitakyushu Nagoya Grampus 1 3 11.00 1.19
L 19 Sept FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus 1 0 1.55 5.80
L 6 Sept Nagoya Grampus Machida 1 3 3.20 2.27
L 2 Sept Sanfrecce Nagoya Grampus 3 0 1.55 5.50
W 29 Aug Nagoya Grampus Okayama 2 1 2.75 2.60
L 26 Aug Nagoya Grampus Gainare Tottori 1 3 1.21 12.50
W 22 Aug Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka 3 1 2.32 2.95
L 15 Aug Kashima Nagoya Grampus 2 1 1.88 4.10
L 8 Aug Nagoya Grampus Shimizu S-Pulse 0 1 2.15 3.45
L 25 Jul Consadole Nagoya Grampus 1 0 – –

Past meetings

Nagasaki
1·0·1
Nagoya Grampus
  • May 2026 Nagasaki 1 - 2 Nagoya Grampus
  • Feb 2026 Nagoya Grampus 1 - 3 Nagasaki

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce 9 +15 20
2 Vissel Kobe 9 +7 20
3 Kashiwa Reysol 9 +4 19
4 Machida 9 +11 18
5 FC Tokyo 9 +6 18
6 Yokohama 9 +4 15
7 Kashima 9 +1 14
8 Okayama 9 +1 14
9 Kawasaki 9 +3 13
10 Urawa 9 -2 13
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 -1 12
12 Mito 9 0 10
13 Cerezo Osaka 9 -6 10
14 Kyoto 9 -4 9
15 Nagasaki 9 -4 9
16 Gamba Osaka 9 -6 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 9 -7 7
18 Avispa Fukuoka 9 -3 5
19 Verdy 9 -8 5
20 Chiba 9 -11 5
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